Prediction 22 de Julio vs Cumbaya 2025 – Betting Tips for the Liga Pro Serie B on 15/10/2025

Relegation-round showdown: tension and small margins

The Relegation Round heats up as 22 de Julio welcome Cumbaya on 15 October 2025. On paper this promises to be a compact, tense encounter: both sides sit close in the standings with Cumbaya occupying second and 22 de Julio sitting just behind in third. Recent fixtures underline how narrow the margins have been — Cumbaya edged 22 de Julio 2-0 in their meeting on 16 September, but 22 de Julio answered with an away win over Chacaritas in their most recent outing. Momentum is fragile and every point carries weight in this mini-league.

Form, numbers and what they tell us

Scanning the numbers reveals a clash between sturdy home form and a slightly more adventurous away profile. 22 de Julio’s home record is notable for a low number of goals conceded at home — just five — and a respectable goalsScoredHome figure that suggests they’re efficient on their own turf. Their latest win away to Chacaritas, where Publio Del Piero Mina Loor earned the man-of-the-match nod, shows they can grind out results.

Cumbaya, meanwhile, travel with an attacking tendency reflected in higher averages for total shots and dangerous attacks. They have shown they can win tight matches — a narrow 0-1 victory over Vinotinto in their last recorded game — and Juan Vacca’s recent best-player performance underlines their ability to be decisive in low-scoring affairs. But their goalsConcededAway number is higher than you’d like when assessing their road security.

Both teams also post a high number of clean sheets across the campaign and the proportion of games finishing with over 2.5 goals is modest for both sides. Head-to-head form is split by that recent 2-0 win for Cumbaya, yet 22 de Julio’s home defensive solidity suggests they’ll make that rematch harder.

Expect a cagey, low-scoring battle

Given 22 de Julio’s home defensive profile, Cumbaya’s pragmatic recent results, and both teams’ tendency toward draws and narrow scorelines in the Relegation Round, this should be a tight, tactical game with few clear-cut chances. Neither side wants to open up recklessly; clean sheets and compact defending are likely to be rewarded.

Betting suggestion: Goal market — Under 2.5 goals. The statistics favor a low-scoring contest: modest over-2.5 percentages for both teams, numerous clean sheets, and recent head-to-head and form results that point to small margins rather than goal fests. Consider a conservative stake given the tight stakes and balanced profiles.