Prediction 22 de Julio vs Vinotinto 2025 season – Betting Tips for the Liga Pro Serie B on 28/08/2025

Form and recent meetings

The Relegation Round clash on 28/08/2025 between 22 de Julio and Vinotinto promises to be a brittle, high-stakes affair. Looking at recent results, both teams arrive with confidence: 22 de Julio bounced back from a heavy defeat in mid‑July to win two of their last five competitive matches, most recently edging 9 de Octubre 1-0 on 16 August. Vinotinto, meanwhile, have been more consistent in their closing fixtures, posting convincing victories including a 4-0 demolition of Cumbaya on 17 August and an earlier 8-0 routing of 22 de Julio on 16 July. That H2H result still looms large — an emphatic reminder that Vinotinto can turn a match into a rout when they find form.

22 de Julio will take some solace from tidy home numbers: they’ve scored 12 at home while conceding just 4 at their ground across the available stats, and their form string includes important clean-sheet moments reflected in nine clean sheets overall. But home resilience will be seriously tested by a Vinotinto side that carries greater offensive firepower and a clear tendency toward open affairs.

Statistical edge and tactical implications

Vinotinto's underlying numbers point to control in territory and chances. They average more total shots (230 vs 193) and shots on target (96 vs 79) across the season sample, and their attacks average (90.5) and dangerous attacks (53.5) both outpace 22 de Julio’s figures. That translated into 29 goals scored at home for Vinotinto and strong attacking returns overall, whereas 22 de Julio’s goal output is more modest and their away defensive record is worrying: 22 de Julio have conceded 27 goals away, highlighting vulnerability when they are not on familiar turf.

The goal environment is worth noting: Vinotinto’s fixtures see a higher incidence of over‑2.5 games (over25Perc 59.09) and a higher BTTS rate in their home matches, suggesting they are comfortable in high-scoring contests. 22 de Julio, while capable of grinding out narrow wins and racking up clean sheets at times, have endured a mixed run (W-L-W-W-L-D-L-L-L-W pattern) that points to inconsistency.

Prediction and betting suggestion

All signs point to Vinotinto holding the edge here. They arrive with better recent form, superior attacking metrics and the psychological advantage of a recent lopsided victory over this same opponent. Expect Vinotinto to press early, create high-quality chances and put sustained pressure on 22 de Julio’s defense. 22 de Julio can make life difficult with discipline at home, but the balance of probability favors the visitors.

Betting suggestion: Back Vinotinto to win (1X2 market — Away Win). This pick is supported by Vinotinto’s superior shot and attack metrics, recent 4-0 win and the dominant 8-0 H2H result earlier in July. Stake responsibly.