Preview: A clash at the WerkTalent Stadion with everything to lose for the visitors
ADO Den Haag return to the WerkTalent Stadion on 13 February 2026 carrying the weight of expectation. Top of the Eerste Divisie table, they have turned matches into points with ruthless efficiency this season — 18 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 25 outings, an attacking return of 62 goals and a defence that has kept 9 clean sheets. Their recent victory at Roda JC (3-0) underlined the team’s ability to bounce back and close out games, and the best-on-pitch performance there was highlighted by Jari Vlak’s commanding display. The club’s average of more than 20 shots per game and a high corners average signal control in the final third; at home they have been particularly dangerous.
MVV Maastricht arrive in a very different mood. Sitting 14th with 8 wins, 6 draws and 12 losses from 26 matches, their record reads like a team capable of moments but not sustained dominance. Recent results show spirited performances — victories over Jong PSV and a 2-1 away win at FC Den Bosch — but their defensive numbers are a concern: 50 conceded in total and only four clean sheets all season. A heavy 5-0 defeat to FC Eindhoven is a reminder that on the road MVV can be exposed, and their shots and dangerous-attacks averages lag well behind the hosts.
Form, history and the odds
The head-to-head from earlier in the campaign was a classic: MVV 3 - 4 ADO Den Haag in November, a high-scoring affair that suggests chances can come for both sides on their day. Still, the bookmakers make ADO an overwhelming favourite at home — priced around 1.14 — a reflection of league position, shot volume and defensive solidity at the WerkTalent Stadion. MVV’s odds sit around 15.00, a long shot that speaks to the gulf between the clubs this season.
Tactically, expect ADO to press their advantage early, lean on wing-play and set-piece opportunities given their corners average, and force MVV into a chase that could open spaces behind. MVV will look to snatch moments on the counter and set-pieces themselves, but discipline and consistency will be their challenge.
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Betting suggestion ADO Den Haag to win (1X2) — the home side’s form, superior shot metrics, defensive record and the bookmaker pricing make the straight home win the clearest value play for this fixture.
