Prediction ADT vs UTC Cajamarca 2025 – Betting Tips for the Primera Division on 16/09/2025

Match context and recent rhythm

ADT returns to Estadio Municipal Unión de Tarma looking to arrest a wobble in form after a 2-0 reverse at Atlético Grau. The Tarma side occupy 15th in the Clausura table with seven points from seven matches and have shown flashes of resilience: a recent 2-2 draw with Melgar and a narrow home win against Sport Huancayo underline their ability to grind out results when the mood and conditions suit them. UTC Cajamarca, meanwhile, arrive in even darker fashion. Sitting 19th with just three points, they are still searching for their first victory of the Clausura and come off a 0-1 defeat to Ayacucho. The sequence of results suggests ADT hold the psychological edge — they beat UTC 1-0 earlier this season — and statistically they carry a little more attacking intent, producing higher totals in shots, shots inside the box and overall attacking actions.

Tactical shapes and statistical clues

Numbers tell a familiar story: ADT create more danger on average, registering higher attack and dangerous-attack metrics, while also manufacturing more shots and shots on target across the board. UTC’s metrics are noticeably lower, and their lack of victories hints at an inability to finish chances. Both teams have recorded a decent number of clean sheets in broader datasets, and both dug-in defenses have made several matches tight and low-scoring affairs. Head-to-head history from the Apertura shows ADT edged UTC 1-0; that narrow outcome reflects how encounters between these clubs can be scrappy and decided by small margins. The recent best player ratings from their last outings — Ademar Robles for ADT and Juan Cruz Vega for UTC — point to contributors who can make an impact, but neither side looks prolific enough to promise a goal-fest.

What to expect on the night

Expect a combative, close contest where home advantage and marginally superior attacking metrics give ADT the upper hand. UTC’s run without wins and inferior attacking numbers mean they are likely to be pinned back at times and forced into mistakes. The Estadio Municipal Unión de Tarma environment and ADT’s slightly better recent form should be enough to tilt this fixture toward the hosts, with the game likely decided by a single goal or settled in the second half as the road side tires.

Betting suggestion: 1X2 — ADT to win. Reasoning: home advantage, better attacking metrics, recent head-to-head victory and UTC’s ongoing winless run point to ADT as the most reliable outcome in the available markets.