Prediction AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Premier League on 13/09/2025

Match preview: Vitality set for a South Coast showdown

There’s a fizz of tension in Bournemouth as the Vitality Stadium prepares to host a derby that promises grit and narrow margins. AFC Bournemouth arrive sitting seventh after three matches, buoyed by two wins and a solitary defeat, while Brighton & Hove Albion lie 11th with a more mixed return of a win, a draw and a loss. Referee Peter Bankes will take charge on matchday four, a fitting appointment for what looks set to be a close, competitive affair on Saturday afternoon.

Bournemouth’s recent domestic rhythm shows a team capable of scrappy, effective results. Their last outings include gritty victories at Tottenham and Wolves and a setback against Brentford. Home numbers underpin that resilience: at home they’ve kept clean sheets, conceded zero and managed a fair goals return, backed up by an aggressive shots average (14.33) and a healthy corners average of 7.67. Bournemouth’s attacking tempo at Dean Court tends to translate into pressure and set-piece chances — a platform they’ll look to exploit against their neighbors.

Form and momentum: Brighton’s hot streak versus Bournemouth’s home edge

Brighton arrive with a sparkling run in their recent form string, picking up impressive victories — including a notable win against Manchester City — and showing they can score freely, as the 6-0 cup triumph suggests. Overall season figures point to an attacking side that creates chances (shots on target 15 across recent outings) and has shown consistency on several fronts. But the detail that catches the eye is Brighton’s away returns so far: goalsScoredAway sits at zero in the provided stats, while goalsConcededAway stands at two. That contrast — quality in general but limited returns on the road — may shape their approach at the Vitality.

Head-to-head slightly favors Brighton from earlier in the season, but derby days are different. Bournemouth’s home clean sheets and stronger corners and shots averages hint at a team comfortable dictating physical territory at Dean Court.

Prediction and betting suggestion

Expect a tight, high-intensity contest settled by fine margins. Bournemouth’s home form, superior home defensive numbers and the bookmakers’ lean toward the hosts all suggest this could be a day for the Cherries. Brighton’s recent high-confidence wins make them dangerous, but the away scoring blank in the provided stats undermines their travel credentials.

Betting suggestion (1X2): Back AFC Bournemouth to win. The home victory at 2.40 represents value given Bournemouth’s home defensive solidity, higher shots and corners averages at Dean Court and the fact Brighton have not registered away goals in the supplied data. Risk is present — Brighton’s form is strong — so stake accordingly and consider a conservative unit size.