Prediction AFC Wimbledon vs Stockport County 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for League One on 15/11/2025

Match narrative and context

Two teams at very different ends of momentum meet at Cherry Red Records Stadium on November 15, 2025, when AFC Wimbledon host table-toppers Stockport County in League One. Wimbledon arrive with a roller-coaster sequence of results: five wins overall across the campaign but a mixed run in recent league fixtures that includes heavy defeats and a morale-boosting EFL Trophy victory over Bromley where Patrick Bauer stood out as the best player. Their home ledger shows nine goals scored and five conceded — an oddly more solid defensive return at Plough Lane than on the road, but an inconsistency that has kept them mid-table in 7th position.

Stockport County stride into the capital sitting first in the table and carrying superior attacking threat across the season. Their numbers read better on most fronts: 22 goals scored, a healthier defensive return with 17 conceded, and more pronounced attacking metrics — higher shots per match, more dangerous attacks and more corners on average. A notable recent performance in the EFL Trophy saw Stockport edge Wigan on penalties with Corey O'Keeffe earning plaudits and the highest rating. The visitors’ form line boasts six wins in their last ten matches, and that consistency explains why bookmakers make them favourites to leave Wimbledon with a positive result.

Tactical subtext and expected pattern

Statistically this looks like a game open to goals. Both sides have seen just over half their matches go over 2.5 goals this season, and Stockport’s superior shot volume suggests they should create the clearer chances. Wimbledon’s home defensive numbers — three clean sheets so far — can’t be ignored, but their recent league form has been vulnerable, conceding multiple goals in some fixtures. Head-to-head history adds a whisper in favour of Stockport too: their 1-0 win over Wimbledon in April 2024 offers a psychological edge.

Fans and bettors who study match rhythm will note that both clubs used midweek cup fixtures; Wimbledon returned with a confidence-boosting win while Stockport navigated penalties. That freshness could tilt preparation marginally towards the visitors, who also carry a firmer league position and momentum. If you want to refine your market selection further, a good primer is available with Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets, and for discipline around staking try How to have emotional control when placing bets?.

Betting suggestion

Based on form, season-long attacking numbers and bookmaker pricing, the clearest value sits on Stockport County to win (Away) in the 1X2 market at the quoted price of 2.12. This selection trades a solid probability edge — Stockport top the table, create more chances and have the recent momentum — against a market that still offers worthwhile odds. Consider a measured stake reflecting your bankroll management plan; the recommended market here is a straight away win (1X2) backing Stockport County.