Prediction Al Ahli vs Al Riyadh 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Pro League on 30/10/2025

Preview: Al Ahli bids to tighten grip at Alinma Stadium

Al Ahli arrive at Alinma Stadium riding a wave of confidence. Six matches into the Pro League campaign and the Jeddah side sit comfortably in fifth with an unbeaten record: three wins and three draws, 12 points and a +4 goal difference that underlines a side difficult to break down. Their recent rhythm is impressive — a string of victories in October capped by a convincing 3-0 Kings Cup win over Al Batin where Ziyad Al-Johani earned the best-player rating. Statistically the hosts dominate the attacking numbers too: a healthy average of 103.17 attacks per match, more than six corners on average and four clean sheets in league action. Bookmakers have reinforced that market view; Al Ahli are overwhelming favourites at 1.18, a probability signal that the expectation in the market is for a routine home triumph.

Al Riyadh’s uphill battle

Al Riyadh’s campaign has been a bumpy ride. Thirteenth in the table with six points from six matches, just two wins and four defeats, their defensive fragility stands out — 15 goals conceded already and an alarming 11 away goals let in. Tuesday’s Kings Cup exit to Al Fateh by 2-0 did nothing to steady nerves; goalkeeper Milan Borjan’s performance was the match highlight but the result underlined systemic issues that visiting sides will struggle to overcome at Alinma. Al Riyadh can score — seven goals from six matches suggests offensive chances — but their average of 62.67 attacks and only one clean sheet suggests they will be forced on the back foot against an organised Al Ahli.

Tactical match-up and form factor

This is a classic clash of momentum versus need. Al Ahli press high, generate shots inside the box (55 total) and have converted that pressure into consistent results. Al Riyadh counter with moments of threat but lack the defensive solidity to withstand sustained pressure; their matches trend towards higher-scoring outcomes overall, but the home side’s low over-2.5 frequency (only 16.67% at home) points to controlled wins rather than wild shootouts. The only recent head-to-head this season finished 1-0 in Al Ahli’s favour, and the bookies’ odds reflect that sample plus the current forms.

Prediction and betting suggestion

Expect Al Ahli to take control early, press for goals and see out a home victory. The clearest value here is on the 1X2 market: back Al Ahli to win. Given the overwhelming market probability and the visitors’ defensive record, the safest, data-driven play is a straight home win. For context on market choice and discipline when staking, consult Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets : https://betarena.com/a/super-bets/soccer-betting-tips-and-the-choice-of-markets and to keep your decisions steady in pressure moments read How to have emotional control when placing bets? : https://betarena.com/a/super-bets/how-to-have-emotional-control-when-placing-bets

Betting suggestion: 1X2 — Al Ahli to win.