Prediction Al Duhail vs Al Gharafa 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the QSL Cup on 14/11/2025

Build-up and context

The QSL Cup returns to Doha on 14 November when Al Duhail welcome Al Gharafa to Abdullah bin Nasser bin Khalifa Stadium. This Group Stage encounter arrives with both teams desperate to turn form into tangible momentum: Al Duhail sit awkwardly in the standings after five games, while Al Gharafa are languishing deeper in the table. The recent calendar, however, tells a more nuanced story — Al Duhail have shown flashes of attacking potency in a 4-1 win over Shabab Al Ahli but have also been porous, conceding 12 goals in group action. Al Gharafa arrive having taken a morale-boosting 2-1 win over Qatar SC on 7 November, with Seydou Sano earning plaudits for his display.

Form, recent meetings and what it means

Their most recent meeting was in the Stars League on 30 October, a 3-1 victory for Al Gharafa — a result that underlines how this fixture can turn into a high-scoring affair. Al Duhail’s last outing, a 2-2 draw with Al Sailiya, highlighted both attacking intent and defensive frailties; Edmílson Junior’s influence was obvious in that game. For Al Gharafa, the narrow win over Qatar SC suggested resilience and an ability to nick results even when behind at half-time. Across the last five group matches both sides have conceded heavily: Al Duhail 12 goals, Al Gharafa 13. Those numbers point towards open play and an emphasis on attack over cautious defensive restructuring.

Key statistical indicators

Shot figures and goal trends favour an expectant punter. Al Duhail average 8.2 shots per match with 11 shots on target in their home data sample, while Al Gharafa have been lively as well, registering 18 shots on target across recent fixtures. Over 2.5 goals has shown up frequently — Al Duhail’s matches have gone over that line 80% of the time in the available dataset, while Al Gharafa sit at 60%. Both teams also record a 50% rate for both teams to score in home and away contexts, indicating this clash often delivers goals at both ends.

Prediction and betting suggestion

Expect an open, end-to-end encounter in Doha. Neither side has demonstrated the defensive solidity to shut down a probing opponent, and the head-to-head history — including a 3-1 scoreline in late October — suggests this fixture can produce multiple goals. For bettors focused on goal markets, this matchup looks tailor-made for the Over 2.5 goals market: the statistical backdrop and recent scorelines both support a high-scoring outcome. If you prefer strategy and timing, consider reading about The right time to place bets on goal markets to refine when to lock in your stake, and remember to manage emotions with discipline — a useful read is How to have emotional control when placing bets?

Final call: Back Over 2.5 goals. The combination of leaky defences, recent head-to-head fireworks and strong over indicators makes the goals market the most compelling play for 14/11/2025.