The spotlight switches to EGO STADIUM on 12/09/2025 as Al Ettifaq welcome Al Ahli in Round 2 of the Pro League. On paper this looks like a fixture that will be dominated by the visitors. Al Ahli arrive with an imposing recent run and a statement win fresh in the memory — a 5-0 demolition of Al Arabi in the Kings Cup just days ago — while Ettifaq, despite a solid start with a 2-1 victory over Al Kholood, have been more inconsistent across their last ten outings. The setting in Ad Dammām, with a compact 15,000-capacity venue, promises an intense atmosphere but one that may not be enough to blunt Al Ahli’s momentum.
Al Ahli’s form line is formidable: eight wins in their last ten competitive matches suggests a side hitting top gear. Their recent sequence includes a narrow 1-0 win over NEOM SC and a penalty shoot-out triumph after a 2-2 game with Al Nassr — performances that show they can both score heavily and handle tense knockout scenarios. Al Ettifaq’s recent pattern is mixed but respectable, with five wins, three draws and two defeats in their last ten. They can nick results, exemplified by Mohau Nkota’s standout display in the 2-1 win over Al Kholood, but consistency against top opponents may be the question.
This fixture carries echoes of their last meeting earlier in the season where Al Ahli inflicted a 3-1 away victory. That head-to-head result underlines Al Ahli’s ability to break down Ettifaq, particularly away from home. Statistically the two sides show similar shot volumes per game — both average nine total shots in recent outings — but Al Ahli combine that output with greater efficiency and a better defensive record recently, including clean sheets. Ettifaq have shown they can create dangerous attacks, averaging 29 dangerous moves, yet Al Ahli’s 39 dangerous attacks average hints at their superior threat in the final third.
Al Ettifaq will hope to leverage home familiarity and a balanced attacking profile, while Al Ahli bring the sharper end product and momentum. The bookmakers mirror that assessment succinctly: the market heavily favours the visitors, reflecting a clear market consensus.
Given the data — Al Ahli’s dominant run, the decisive recent head-to-head result, combined statistical edge in dangerous attacks and the bookmaker pricing that assigns a 66.67% probability to an Al Ahli win — the clearest value lies in the match-winner market. Back Al Ahli to win (Away) in the 1X2 market at the offered price of 1.50. This selection aligns with form, recent results and the head-to-head pattern, making it the strongest single-market recommendation from the available information.
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