
Al Fateh returns to the Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Sports City Stadium full of rhythm and belief, fresh from a 2-1 victory over Al Ettifaq on October 24. The home side’s recent results have been a mixed bag across the season, but there are clear signs of life when it matters: attacking numbers for Al Fateh stand out in the data, with an aggressive shot profile that translates into real chances. Their latest sequence shows four wins, one draw and five defeats across ten outings, but the most recent win and a high shots-on-target count suggest a team that can dominate proceedings when in form. The stadium atmosphere in Al-Hasa, with a capacity of 27,550, should help the hosts press their advantage.
Al Riyadh travel to Al-Hasa after grinding out a 1-0 win over Al Kholood on October 23. That victory is a timely tonic for a side that has been inconsistent, winning three and losing seven of their last ten. Statistically Al Riyadh look less threatening in attack compared to their hosts: fewer total shots, a lower shots-on-target tally and a solitary clean sheet reflected in the data. Still, their ability to nick results away from home means they cannot be written off — and their previous encounter with Al Fateh in April ended 2-2, underlining the potential for goals and unpredictability in this matchup.
The contrast in offensive metrics is stark. Al Fateh’s reported 14 total shots and seven on target versus Al Riyadh’s eight shots with only two on target paints a picture of a home side that creates more and better opportunities. Dangerous attacks and attack averages skew heavily in favour of Al Fateh as well, suggesting the hosts will control large spells and test the opposition goalkeeper repeatedly. Recent form lines show both teams capable of slipping up, but Al Fateh’s ability to convert pressure into shots on target and their positive result last time out gives them the edge. The pair’s last meeting ended in a 2-2 draw, indicating a willingness on both sides to open up and commit men forward — this could make for a lively cup tie rather than a cautious, low-scoring affair.
Given the evidence on attacking intent, shots on target and recent momentum at home, Al Fateh look the most likely side to take the tie. For a straightforward market pick, the best option here is a 1X2 selection: back Al Fateh to win. This choice leans on home attacking dominance, the confidence of a fresh league victory, and Al Riyadh’s struggles to impose themselves away from home. Bet suggestion: Al Fateh to win (1X2).
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