
Al-Fayha welcome Al Ittihad to Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium on 17 October in round 5 of the Pro League, a clash that shapes up as clear-cut on paper. The venue holds 7,000 spectators and will host a side that sits 9th (Al-Fayha) against a team currently third in the table (Al Ittihad). Kick-off arrives after a busy domestic and continental stretch for both clubs: Al-Fayha have collected seven points from four matches with two wins, one draw and one loss, while Al Ittihad have trotted out three victories from four and sit on nine points.
Al-Fayha arrive off a morale-boosting 2-1 win away at Al Najma, a result that followed a mixed run of results including a heavy 3-0 reverse at Al Khaleej and a tight goalless draw versus Al Shabab. Alfa Semedo earned plaudits in that last outing and was singled out as the best player in the most recent match for Al-Fayha. The pattern for Al-Fayha is inconsistent — flashes of attacking intent are visible but defensive lapses have cost them, leaving a goal difference that’s slightly negative through the early season.
Al Ittihad hit the road after an AFC Champions League Elite defeat to Shabab Al Ahli Dubai, where Predrag Rajković was the standout performer despite the loss. Domestically they have been sharper: three wins from four, ten goals scored and an aggressive attacking profile shown in the season statistics. Their averages — substantially higher total shots, more shots on target and nearly 50 “dangerous attacks” on average — underline why bookmakers are leaning towards them.
The most recent H2H meeting ended 3-0 in favour of Al Ittihad, an emphatic reminder that they can dominate this fixture. Al Ittihad’s attacking numbers (49 total shots, 20 on target in the sample) contrast with Al-Fayha’s more modest output, suggesting the visitors will control the tempo and create the clearer openings. Al-Fayha can be dangerous on the break, but they will likely be forced into a reactive posture.
Given the data — league positions, recent form, shooting and attacking metrics, and the market pricing — the clearest value is on the 1X2 market. Back Al Ittihad to win at the available price of 1.73. It’s the market that best reflects their superior attacking play, recent head-to-head success and the bookmaker probability edge. As with any tip, manage your stake and factor in variance: Al-Fayha have shown they can upset on their day, but the balance of evidence points to an away victory.
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