Al-Fayha welcome Al Shabab to Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium on 19/09/2025 in what looks set to be a lively early-season Pro League fixture. Both sides sit level on three points after two matches, identical on goals scored and conceded (2 for, 4 against), but the underlying numbers provide a clearer picture: Al Shabab arrive with noticeably more firepower and territorial control, while Al-Fayha will hope home advantage and a familiar surface can blunt the visitors’ momentum. The most recent head-to-head between these clubs saw Al Shabab triumph 2-0 at Al-Fayha in May, a result that will linger in the hosts’ minds heading into this rematch.
The two teams arrive with contrasting short-term trends. Al-Fayha have a mixed run of results, punctuated by a heavy 3-0 defeat to Al Khaleej on 13 September, while they did pick up earlier wins such as a 2-1 away victory at Al Fateh. Their wider string of ten recent results shows inconsistency — wins interspersed with losses and just one draw — suggesting vulnerability when concentration drops. Al Shabab, conversely, edged past Al Hazm 1-0 most recently and have posted a stronger recent record overall, reflected in a ten-match sequence with five wins, two draws and three defeats. Yannick Carrasco’s standout performance in the last match, registering the best player rating, underlines a player delivering form at the right moment.
When numbers are stripped back to essentials, Al Shabab lead on attacking metrics that matter. They average 107 attacks per game and 55.5 dangerous attacks compared to Al-Fayha’s 84.5 attacks and 36.5 dangerous attacks. Shots tell the same story: 26 total shots with seven on target for Al Shabab versus 17 shots and four on target for Al-Fayha. Corners and set-piece pressure also favour the visitors. Clean sheet records give Al Shabab a slight defensive edge with one shutout already, while Al-Fayha have yet to keep a clean sheet. Head-to-head memory and recent form lean toward the away side, and bookmakers mirror that sentiment with Al Shabab as the market favourite.
Based on the available data — superior shot volume, higher dangerous attack figures, a recent head-to-head win at this venue and a strong recent performance highlighted by Yannick Carrasco’s player rating — the most compelling market is the 1X2. Back Al Shabab to win (Away) at 1.90. The price reflects a reasonable balance of value and probability (bookmakers indicate around a 52.6% chance), and the underlying match statistics back the expectation that Al Shabab will control and convert more of the key attacking moments.
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