The Pro League returns to Alinma Stadium on 26/09/2025 and it promises to be a combustible fixture: Al Ittihad welcome league leaders Al Nassr in round 4. The theatre is perfect — a 63,079-capacity ground in Jeddah — and both sides arrive in winning mood from domestic cup ties played on 23 September. Al Ittihad edged past Al-Wehda 1-0 in the Kings Cup with Awad Al‑Nashri earning the match praise, while Al Nassr demolished Jeddah 4-0 with João Félix outstanding. Form lines and raw numbers paint a clear picture: Al Nassr top the table on nine points with a prodigious attacking record and stingy defence, while Al Ittihad, also on nine points, have been emphatic in attack but slightly more porous at the back.
On paper this is two teams in red-hot scoring form. Across three league matches Al Ittihad have netted 10 goals and conceded 4; Al Nassr have found the net 12 times while allowing only a single goal. Al Nassr’s attacking metrics are eye-catching — 69 total shots with 32 on target and an average of 23 shots per game versus Al Ittihad’s 41 shots and 18 on target across their fixtures. Dangerous attacks and corners also tilt in favour of the visitors: Al Nassr average 64.33 dangerous attacks and 10.33 corners, compared to Al Ittihad’s 57 dangerous attacks and 7.67 corners. Clean sheets favour Al Nassr too (2 vs Al Ittihad’s 1), underlining a defensive solidity that complements their firepower.
The most recent meeting — a Super Cup semifinal on 19 August — finished 2-1 in favour of Al Nassr, giving them a psychological edge heading back to Jeddah. Bookmakers echo that sentiment: the market prices Al Nassr as favourites at 1.80 (implied probability 55.56%), while Al Ittihad are longer at 3.55 (28.17%) and the draw sits at 4.33 (23.09%). Those odds reflect both Al Nassr’s momentum and their capacity to control games.
Expect an open, energetic contest with Al Nassr holding the upper hand. Their superior shot volume, greater number of shots on target, higher dangerous-attack average and recent 4-0 cup statement suggest they can impose themselves even away from home. Al Ittihad will press and threaten — they have the goals to make this competitive — but the balance of form and the head-to-head result lean towards an away victory.
Betting suggestion: Back Al Nassr to win (Away at 1.80) on the 1X2 market. This selection aligns with the market probability, Al Nassr’s superior attacking and defensive metrics, and their recent victory over Al Ittihad in the Super Cup.
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