Jeddah will host an intriguing West-stage tie at Alinma Stadium on September 30, where Al Ittihad welcome Shabab Al Ahli Dubai in a game that already carries group-stage significance. Al Ittihad arrive on home soil with something to prove after opening their campaign with a 0-2 reverse that left them without points, while Shabab Al Ahli sit a little more comfortably with a point from their first game. The contrast in the underlying numbers and recent form sets up a compelling tale: a historically big Saudi club under pressure against a UAE side riding a streak of positive results.
Al Ittihad's recent run has been mixed domestically — wins peppered with frustrating defeats — and their continental showing so far highlighted problems in creating sustained danger. In their opening match, the home side managed only two shots overall and looked blunt in the attacking third, a worrying sign when competing against a team that generates volume and quality chances. Their last domestic fixture ended in a 0-2 loss to Al Nassr, a result that raises questions about defensive fragility and mood in the camp heading into this fixture.
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai hit Jeddah with momentum. Their recent form reads strongly on paper: more wins than defeats in the last ten outings and a style that produces plenty of attacking intent. The statistics from their continental outing underline that approach — an overwhelming shot total and high numbers for attacks and dangerous attacks, suggesting a side that will look to dominate possession in the final third and probe for openings. Their last league outing was a narrow 0-1 defeat to Al Ain, but overall they arrive in better shape and with the more convincing attacking profile.
The gulf in attacking output between the two sides is stark in the available data. Where Al Ittihad struggled to muster shots, Shabab Al Ahli recorded a game rich in attempts and tested goalkeepers repeatedly. That attacking pressure is likely to be the deciding factor on the night in Jeddah.
Playing at home should lift Al Ittihad, but the pressure of producing a result in continental competition after a loss can also weigh on a squad. Shabab Al Ahli’s recent consistency and their ability to force chances suggest they will not simply sit back. Expect a contest where the visitors try to assert themselves early, while Al Ittihad will be searching for control and better service into the box. Both sides showed susceptibility to conceding in recent matches, but the visitors’ capacity to create more chances gives them the edge.
Betting suggestion (based on the 1X2 market): Back Shabab Al Ahli Dubai to win. The combination of superior attacking metrics, steadier form and the visitors’ ability to generate and sustain pressure points to an away victory in Jeddah.
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