Prediction Al Kholood vs Al Najma 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Pro League on 17/10/2025

Match preview: momentum and home edge in Buraydah

A mouth-watering mid-October clash at King Abdullah Sport City Stadium sets the stage as Al Kholood welcome Al Najma in Round 5 of the Pro League. Al Kholood head into this fixture buoyed by recent results and a clearer trajectory in the standings: currently 11th with six points from four matches. Al Najma, occupying 17th, arrive without a point and with a run of league results that leaves them chasing answers. The venue in Buraydah — capacity just under 30,000 — offers Al Kholood the home comfort and a chance to build on form in front of familiar fans.

Form and recent meetings

Al Kholood’s immediate-run shows resilience and decisive finishing in recent outings, evidenced by three wins in their last few matches including a 2-1 success over Damac and a 2-1 win away at Al Bukayriyah. Their last league outing returned a 2-1 victory at Al Shabab, with Hattan Bahebri singled out as the best performer in that game. Al Najma, by contrast, have struggled to convert opportunities into points. Their most recent result was a 1-2 home defeat to Al-Fayha, where Samir Caetano was the standout player despite the loss. The head-to-head note from January 31, 2024, adds context: Al Kholood claimed a 1-0 victory when the two sides last met, a reminder that Al Najma have been susceptible to Al Kholood’s gameplan in past meetings.

Where the numbers point

Statistically the contest tilts towards Al Kholood. They create more dangerous attacks on average (68.25 versus Al Najma’s 52.25), register slightly fewer total shots than their visitors but are sharper in shots on target (13 for Al Kholood against 10 for Al Najma). Defensively, neither team has kept a clean sheet so far this season, and both sides have featured in higher-scoring affairs — over 2.5 goals has occurred in 75% of matches for each team in the sample provided. Al Najma’s defensive record paints the clearest warning: they’ve conceded eight goals across their opening regular-season fixtures while failing to collect a point, suggesting a vulnerability Al Kholood can exploit at home.

Prediction and betting tip

Given the combination of form, attacking intent and home advantage, this fixture looks primed for an Al Kholood victory. Bookmakers also reflect that sentiment with Al Kholood priced at 2.00 for the match win while the draw and away outcomes sit further out. Expect Al Kholood to press their advantage and for the game to produce goals, but the clearest single-market play from the data is a home victory.

Betting suggestion: Back Al Kholood to win (1X2 market) at the available price of 2.00 — the home side’s superior recent results, higher dangerous-attack numbers, and Al Najma’s porous defensive record make the home win the most justifiable single-market stake from the provided dataset.