Prediction Al Kholood vs Al Najma 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Kings Cup on 27/10/2025

Match context

The Kings Cup Round of 16 throws up a tasty local tie as Al Kholood welcome Al Najma to the King Abdullah Sport City Stadium in Buraydah on 27/10/2025. This one-off knockout clash at a venue that holds 29,850 promises a sharp contrast in momentum — and the statistics supplied paint a clear picture of which side might carry the day. Both sides arrive off midweek Pro League defeats on 23 October, but the manner of recent encounters and the underlying numbers favor the hosts.

Recent form and psychological edge

Al Kholood’s recent results tell a story of explosive attacking returns interspersed with a couple of slips. Their last five results include impressive wins — most notably a 5-1 demolition of Al Najma on 17 October — but they were undone 1-0 away to Al Riyadh just days ago. The form string shows six wins from the last ten outings, with a full summary showing six wins and four losses. Al Najma arrive in poorer vein: three wins and seven defeats in their last ten, and that heavy 5-1 reverse to these same opponents will still be fresh. Their last outing ended 0-1 at home to Al Ahli, where Victor Braga was the standout with a 7.37 rating despite the loss.

Al Kholood’s psychological edge is obvious. A recent head-to-head in the Pro League finished 5-1 (HT 3-1) and Al Kholood should take confidence from both the scoreline and their ability to convert chances repeatedly against this particular opponent.

Tactical snapshot from the numbers

The underlying performance metrics favour Al Kholood heavily. They average 15 shots with six on target in the sample provided, compared to Al Najma’s eight shots and three on target. Corners paint the same picture — Al Kholood average nine to Al Najma’s two — and attacks per game are listed at 108 for the hosts versus just 24 for the visitors. Dangerous attacks and shots-inside-the-box figures also lean to Al Kholood, suggesting sustained pressure and finishing opportunities. Both teams’ recent fixtures have tended to produce goals, and last meeting’s 5-1 scoreline is a stark reminder of Al Kholood’s attacking potency.

Prediction and betting tip

All signs point toward a home win. Al Kholood have the momentum against an Al Najma side that has struggled to keep consistency or blunt opposition pressure. Given the decisive Pro League meeting on 17 October and the statistical dominance in shots, corners and attacking play, backing Al Kholood to progress is the logical call.

Betting suggestion: 1X2 — Al Kholood to win. This pick aligns with recent head-to-heads, the hosts’ superior attacking numbers and the psychological advantage of that 5-1 victory earlier in the month.