Al Nassr returns to Al-Awwal Park under the bright Riyadh lights with momentum and expectations stacked squarely on their shoulders. The hosts sit second in the Pro League table with 37 points from 16 matches and a goal return that reads like an attacking blueprint: 44 goals scored and only 18 conceded. Al Taawoun, sitting fifth and within striking distance on 35 points, arrive with confidence of their own after a lively run of results. This clash on 26 January promises a match where Al Nassr are favourites on paper, but Al Taawoun will not be mere spectators.
Form and recent meetings — who has the edge?
Al Nassr’s recent form carries a compelling narrative: a sequence of wins offset by a couple of stumbles that remind us they are not invincible. Their last five results show streaks of sharp attacking output — João Félix was named best player in their most recent away victory — and the home statistics underline why oddsmakers tilt heavily in their favour. Al Taawoun’s form is no flop either; they arrive unbeaten in several of their last ten matches with Roger Martínez turning heads after a strong individual rating in their most recent 2-2 draw. The head-to-head history leans decisively toward Al Nassr: an emphatic 5-0 away victory earlier in the season is proof they can tear apart Al Taawoun’s defence when in full flow.
Stats that matter — goals, chances and momentum
Digging into the numbers, Al Nassr’s over 2.5 goals percentage at home is eye-catching, with over 81% of matches seeing more than two goals. They average more than 19 shots per game and create nearly 107 attacks on average, a measure of sustained pressure. Al Taawoun are efficient too — 35 goals overall and a respectable goals conceded record — but their shot and corner averages lag behind the hosts. Both teams have five clean sheets apiece, and both produce a fair share of goal-mouth activity, so the match could swing into a high-scoring affair. If you like timing your goal-market plays, take a look at this detailed guide: The right time to place bets on goal markets. And if you want to refine your match reads with tools and models, consider exploring Learn about some of the tools that can help with analysis.
Prediction and betting outlook: the market gives Al Nassr heavy favoritism, and the data supports that stance. Their prolific scoring, greater attacking volume and a dominant H2H make them the natural pick in the match-winner market.
Betting suggestion: 1X2 — Back Al Nassr to win.
