Prediction Al-Qadsiah vs Al Ahli 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Super Cup on 20/08/2025

Form lines and recent meetings set the tone in Hong Kong

The Super Cup semifinal at Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground promises a lively clash as Al-Qadsiah and Al Ahli meet on 20/08/2025. On paper the market treats this as finely balanced — both sides are trading at 2.62 for the win — but the underlying narrative tilts clearly toward Al Ahli. The visitors arrive on the back of a rich vein of form, an emphatic sequence with eight wins in their last ten matches, while Al-Qadsiah carry a mixed profile of results that reads as inconsistency: a string that includes draws and several defeats against tough opposition. The recent head-to-head adds further colour: Al Ahli dismantled Al-Qadsiah 4-1 in February, a result that underlines the gulf Al Ahli can open when in rhythm.

Al-Qadsiah’s pre-match build-up has shown flashes of resilience — a goalless draw with Nottingham Forest and a 2-2 stalemate with Sevilla indicate they can frustrate quality sides on their day — but those performances were interspersed with heavy league defeats. That inconsistency is worrying in a knockout scenario where momentum and confidence matter. Al Ahli, conversely, closed the regular season with notable wins and wrapped up competitive fixtures with a tidy defensive finish in their last reported outing, a 1-0 win at Al Riyadh where F. Kessie earned plaudits.

What to expect tactically and in-game

In a neutral-venue semifinal, the game should favour the side better able to impose structure and finish chances. Al Ahli have demonstrated a capacity to close out games and convert opportunities into results, while Al-Qadsiah’s results suggest they can be porous when pressed by higher-quality opponents. The match being staged in Hong Kong strips home advantage away and places emphasis on discipline and match-day sharpness; the team that manages turning early momentum into sustained pressure will likely decide the tie. Expect a competitive opening half with Al Ahli gradually asserting control if they settle early, and Al-Qadsiah seeking to frustrate and strike on the counter.

Betting suggestion

Given form, the recent head-to-head, and the neutral setting, the clearest value lies in the 1X2 market. Al Ahli to win (Away) at the available price of 2.62 is the recommended selection — the visitors’ superior run of results and their convincing 4-1 victory in the last encounter give this pick an edge despite the market parity. Consider a measured stake, reflecting the volatility of knockout football, and factor in in-play opportunities if the game opens cautiously.