Prediction Alianza Atlético vs Ayacucho 2025 – Betting Tips for the Primera Division on 22/09/2025

Match context and what’s at stake

Alianza Atlético welcome Ayacucho to the Estadio Campeones del '36 in Sullana on 22/09/2025 (kick-off 20:00). It’s a late-Clausura encounter in round 10 of the Primera Division that carries more tug-of-war than glamour: both teams sit in the bottom end of the table—Alianza listed 15th and Ayacucho 16th—each holding seven points and desperate to turn a run of mixed results into momentum. Referee César García will take charge as the two sides look to arrest patchy form and give their supporters something to cheer about in front of the 12,000-capacity venue.

Form guide and recent meetings

Alianza Atlético arrive without a convincing string of results but with signs of defensive resilience. Their most recent outing finished as a 0-0 draw against Sporting Cristal on 17 September, with Miguel Agustín Graneros singled out as the match’s best performer. The Alianza report includes tight scorelines: a 0-1 defeat to ADC Juan Pablo II and a narrow 1-0 reverse at Cusco earlier, but also a 2-0 home victory over UTC Cajamarca. The club’s latest form summary lists a balance of wins, draws and defeats, underscoring inconsistency rather than collapse.

Ayacucho travel north after a 0-1 loss to Cusco FC on 18 September, having only recently edged past UTC Cajamarca 1-0 on 12 September. Their recent ledger contains low-scoring affairs and defensive frailties; J. Bilbao was Ayacucho’s best performer in their prior outing despite the defeat. Head-to-head history shown by the April meeting in this division favours Alianza, who recorded a 2-0 win at Ayacucho earlier in the season, suggesting the home side know how to exploit this particular matchup.

Tactical expectations and statistical clues

Numbers supplied paint a picture of matches that trend tight and low on goals. Alianza’s recent results include several goalless or one-goal games, and Ayacucho’s string of 1–0 and 0–1 scorelines shows an ability to make matches cagey but not necessarily high-scoring. The broader team statistics hint at limited attacking firepower across both camps during this phase of the season: both clubs have struggled to produce consistent scoring output while conceding enough to keep contests nervy rather than open.

Given the similar league positions, the recent defensive showings, and the pattern of low-margin results for both sides, this clash is likely to be decided by fine tactical margins, set-pieces or a single moment of quality rather than an avalanche of goals.

Betting suggestion

Based on the trends and the recent scorelines for each side, the best market to target is the goal market: Under 2.5 goals. The data indicates a run of low-scoring fixtures, tight defensive performances and a head-to-head that has not produced an offensive outburst. Backing Under 2.5 goals captures the likelihood of a cagey encounter in Sullana where one piece of decisive play could separate the teams.