Prediction Alianza Lima vs Sport Boys 2025 season – Betting Tips for the Primera Division on 17/10/2025

Clash in Andahuaylas: Alianza Lima look to tighten their grip

Alianza Lima arrive in Andahuaylas with momentum that belies a season of mixed results. The table shows them sitting comfortably above Sport Boys, and their recent run — a rollercoaster of wins and losses — still contains enough sharpness to make them favorites. At home and across competitions their attacking numbers stand out: they have accumulated a higher volume of shots and produced more goals in the campaign presented, while their defensive ledger in the group phase is marginally cleaner than Sport Boys’. The stage at Estadio Los Chankas will be lively, and Alianza Lima will feel obliged to impose themselves early against a visiting side that has struggled for consistency.

Form and momentum: small margins that matter

Both teams have experienced peaks and troughs in the last ten matches, but the nuance is important. Alianza Lima’s sequence of results includes recent victories that show they can close out games when their front line clicks, and their summary statistics show a side that can both create and protect leads. Sport Boys, meanwhile, have flashes of promise — including a narrow win over Sport Huancayo and a 3-2 away success earlier in the campaign — yet their results reveal defensive vulnerabilities and a reliance on occasional offensive sparks rather than sustained pressure. The visitors’ formline suggests they can frustrate opponents on their day, but over the course of 90 minutes against a stronger, more clinical Alianza side, those days are less frequent.

Tactical trends from the available data hint at a match where Alianza Lima will push forward with intent. Their higher totals in shots and dangerous attacks point to a team that looks to dominate possession in the final third. Sport Boys have shown they can score but concede too readily; matches involving them have a reasonable chance of opening up, yet their overall goal output this season is lower than Alianza’s. The venue’s altitude and the intimate atmosphere of a 10,000-seat stadium may inject extra energy, but nothing in the dataset suggests a major upset is imminent.

Betting suggestion: Given the balance of form, season statistics and the market pricing that heavily favors the hosts, the recommended play is a straight 1x2 bet on a Home win — Alianza Lima to win. The bookmaker probability sits strongly behind Alianza Lima, and the underlying team metrics support backing the home side in this fixture.