Match context and recent form
Almere City host VVV-Venlo at the Yanmar Stadion on Monday evening in a clash that has the feel of a six-pointer for mid-table pride. The home side sit 14th in the Eerste Divisie with 17 points from 16 matches, while VVV-Venlo are higher up in ninth with 21 points. Both teams arrive bruised from weekend defeats: Almere were torn apart 5-2 by FC Den Bosch, a result that highlighted defensive vulnerability but also the attacking firepower that has produced 30 goals so far this season. VVV were beaten 2-0 by Willem II and have shown streaky form away from home, alternating wins and losses across recent fixtures.
Those recent match reports name Ferdy Druijf as Almere’s best performer in their heavy defeat, and Jorn Triep as VVV’s standout in their previous outing. The scoreboard tells a story of imbalance: Almere have flourished at home with 19 goals scored on their own patch and 11 conceded, while VVV’s away numbers show 11 scored and 12 conceded. Both clubs have managed four clean sheets this term, which suggests games can swing in either direction.
Tactical outlook and statistical clues
Statistically this fixture leans towards open football. Almere’s matches have produced Over 2.5 goals in nearly 69% of their outings — a clear indicator that their home encounters tend to be high-scoring. VVV, although less extreme, have kicked in enough goals to make their away games unpredictable, and both teams register respectable totals for shots and dangerous attacks. The bookmakers make Almere the favorite at 1.77 to win, with the draw at 3.90 and VVV at 4.00 — a market view that values home advantage and Almere’s attacking record despite their recent collapse.
From a strategic perspective, Almere will feel they can exploit spaces if VVV arrive willing to take the game on. VVV’s higher average of dangerous attacks suggests they won’t sit back entirely, and that dynamic should keep the goal rate elevated. The previous head-to-head in playoffs ended 1-1, underlining that this pairing can produce goals but also be finely balanced.
Prediction and betting tip
Given the data — Almere’s strong home scoring, both sides’ recent openness, and the bookmakers’ pricing — the most compelling market here is the goal market. Expect an above-average chance of multiple goals at the Yanmar Stadion. For those looking to back a single market, my suggestion is to target Over 2.5 goals. It aligns with Almere’s 68.75% over-2.5 rate and VVV’s willingness to participate in open affairs. If you want guidance on market selection and timing, consider reading more on Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets and the advice about The right time to place bets on goal markets to refine how you stake this pick.
Betting suggestion: Back Over 2.5 goals in Almere City vs VVV-Venlo (24/11/2025).