Prediction Almería vs Real Zaragoza 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for La Liga 2 on 11/10/2025

Almería primed to press home advantage at Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos

Almería return to their red-hot Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos with momentum and expectation. The Andalusian side sit ninth in the La Liga 2 table after eight matches and have found the net 14 times while conceding the same number, a reflection of a team that can entertain and punish in equal measure. Recent results underline a resilient streak: wins over Las Palmas and Sporting Gijón, and a hard-fought draw away at Deportivo La Coruña last time out. Those results, combined with a capacity crowd of 17,400 waiting in Almería, hint at a configuration that thrives on forward impetus — 136 total shots so far and an average of 17 per match indicate a side that probes relentlessly and creates chances.

Real Zaragoza, by contrast, arrive struggling for consistency and goals. Rooted down in 21st with just one win from eight, Zaragoza have managed only four goals across the campaign while conceding eight. Their recent form is patchy: a narrow victory at Mirandés was followed by a home reverse to Córdoba, and the pattern reads as a team that is finding it hard to string results together. Defensive fragility is evident in the numbers and in the concession of goals in multiple recent fixtures. Away form has not been inspiring either; the away goal tally and shot volumes are notably lower than Almería’s, suggesting a team that will find life difficult breaking down a proactive home side.

Tactical battle and context from recent meetings

When these sides last met earlier in the season, Almería produced a commanding 4-1 victory, a scoreline that will live large in the visitor’s memory and in the confidence of the home squad. Almería’s tendency toward open, attack-minded play — illustrated by a high dangerous attacks average and frequent corners — will force Zaragoza to either close ranks or risk being drawn into a high-scoring contest. Zaragoza’s cleaner sheets count of two offers a glimmer of defensive hope, but their lack of cutting edge in front of goal, combined with Almería’s home output, creates a clear tactical narrative for this clash.

Match prediction and betting suggestion

Bookmakers have priced Almería as clear favorites with a home win at 1.65 and a probability above 60%. Given the form lines, goal statistics and the emphatic recent H2H, the sensible call is to back the home side. Betting suggestion: Almería to win (1X2 market). This picks the side with the momentum, superior attacking metrics, home advantage and a recent 4-1 triumph over Zaragoza.