Prediction Amazonas vs Novorizontino 2025 season – Betting Tips for the Serie B on 17/10/2025

Form, stakes and the Manaus factor

Amazonas arrive at Estádio Municipal Carlos Zamith under real pressure. Sitting 19th in the table with 31 points from 32 matches, their recent string of results reads like a team scrambling for rhythm: there are flashes of fight — a 2-1 victory over Criciúma and a 2-2 draw away at Athletic Club — but those are bookended by too many defeats, including a 1-0 loss to Vila Nova in their last outing. Home form has yielded 20 goals but also 18 conceded at their own ground; defensively they have been inconsistent and their run of just three wins in the last ten underlines how fragile they can be when under sustained pressure.

Novorizontino travel north in confident mood. Third in the table with 53 points, they’ve built momentum through a compact defensive record and a string of effective away performances. Their last two results include a convincing 3-0 win over Operário PR and a 1-0 victory at Cuiabá, and those results underline a side that can manage games and strike decisively on the counter. Statistically they create more — total shots, attacks and dangerous attacks all tilt in their favour — and they boast an impressive number of clean sheets overall, a hallmark of a team built on discipline and organization.

Numbers that matter

The underlying numbers paint a clear picture: Novorizontino average more shots and dangerous attacks per match, and their away record shows the kind of defensive solidity you want when travelling to a hostile venue like Manaus. Amazonas’ goals conceded tally is worrying for a side fighting near the relegation places, and while their stadium can lift them on occasion, they have struggled to convert home possession into consistent results. The market reflects this reality — bookmakers favour the away side with odds around 2.25 for a Novorizontino win, while a draw sits near 2.95 and a home upset at 3.50.

Expect a tactical, tight contest. Amazonas will hope to frustrate and hit on moments of transition, but Novorizontino’s balance between defensive structure and effective attacking transitions makes them the team more likely to take the three points. The recent head-to-head ended 1-1, showing both teams can be cautious; however current trajectories suggest Novorizontino arrive as the sharper unit.

Betting suggestion: Back Novorizontino to win (Away) in the 1X2 market. The 2.25 quote offers value given Novorizontino’s form, superior attacking metrics and defensive stability on the road — a sensible selection for a confident, calculated stake.