Match context and storyline
Antwerp welcome Sporting Charleroi to Bosuilstadion in Deurne on 25/01/2026 for a Round 22 clash that carries the feel of a six-pointer. Both teams sit level on 27 points, separated by goal difference and form nuances, which promises a compact, fiercely contested affair. Antwerp arrive having dropped a surprise 1-0 result at Dender in their most recent outing, while Charleroi are buoyant after a convincing 2-0 win over Standard Liège — a game in which Patrick Pflücke earned a superb 8.59 rating. The referee appointed for the day is Jan Boterberg and the Bosuilstadion’s 16,649 crowd should create a lively atmosphere that could tilt fine margins in Antwerp’s favour.
Tactical shape from the numbers
On paper this is tight — both sides have seven wins, six draws and eight losses from 21 games. Antwerp’s home numbers tell a home-first story: 19 goals scored at Bosuilstadion and a high bttsHome percentage of 81.82, suggesting their home matches often see both nets rattled. Sporting Charleroi aren’t shy going forward either, with 25 total goals in the season and an away goals tally of 11, but they’ve conceded 16 on the road, which flags defensive vulnerability away from home. Shots and attacking metrics are near identical — Antwerp average 92.29 attacks and 39.29 dangerous attacks; Charleroi sit on 90.14 attacks and 47 dangerous attacks — so expect quality in the final third rather than a midfield stalemate.
Recent form and psychological edge
Antwerp’s recent run reads as inconsistent but capable of bursts of confidence: wins peppered across the fixture list and four clean sheets this season. Charleroi, meanwhile, arrive with momentum from two straight 2-0 wins mid-January and a resilient mentality in tight games; their last victory saw Pflücke stand out and may provide the visitors with a psychological lift. An earlier H2H this season finished 1-1, which underlines how evenly matched these sides can be when facing each other.
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Betting suggestion (1X2) Based on available data, the market edge lies with Antwerp at home. Bookmakers have Antwerp as the slight favourite at 2.33 (42.92% implied probability). Combining Antwerp’s strong home scoring record, Bosuilstadion advantage and Charleroi’s leaky away defensive numbers (16 goals conceded away), the advised play is a straight 1X2 bet on Antwerp to win. Stake cautiously and consider a moderate stake given both teams’ form swings — Antwerp represents the best value in the main market for this fixture.
