Prediction Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove Albion 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Carabao Cup on 29/10/2025

Context and stakes at the Emirates

Arsenal welcome Brighton & Hove Albion to the Emirates Stadium on 29/10/2025 in a Round 4 Carabao Cup clash that feels like a real test of depth for both sides. The Gunners arrive in imperious form, their recent run a sensational sequence of victories that has translated into confidence across competitions. The bookmakers make that clear: Arsenal are heavy favourites at 1.39 with an implied probability approaching 72%, a reflection of their domestic and European dominance in the build-up to this tie. The venue — a packed Emirates with capacity for 60,704 — and a familiar referee in Samuel Barrott add extra context, but the narrative is simple: Arsenal are on a roll and they face an opponent who have shown both promise and fragility.

Form, recent results and what they tell us

Arsenal’s injury-free rhythm is evident in their latest results: narrow wins and authoritative scorelines have alternated as they swept past Atlético Madrid 4-0 and picked up a string of clean-sheet victories, including a 1-0 win over Crystal Palace on 26 October where Gabriel Magalhães was highlighted as the match’s standout performer. Their form readout — nine wins and a solitary draw from the latest ten — speaks to a side that’s clicking tactically and physically, capable of controlling games and grinding out results when needed.

Brighton arrive with mixed fortunes. They have shown attacking teeth with emphatic performances such as a 6-0 romp at Barnsley and a solid 3-1 success at Chelsea, yet defensive inconsistencies surfaced in a recent 4-2 defeat to Manchester United on 25 October. That scoreline underlines Brighton’s ability to both score and concede, making them a dangerous opponent on their day but also one vulnerable to quick, incisive Arsenal attacks at the Emirates.

Head-to-head history offers a recent 1-1 meeting earlier in the year, suggesting Brighton can trouble Arsenal, but the weight of current form and home advantage favours the hosts. Arsenal’s defensive stability and a sequence of shutouts mean they are well-positioned to control this tie, while Brighton will need to balance their threat going forward with improved discipline at the back.

Betting suggestion

Based on form, venue and market pricing, the clearest value lies in the 1X2 market: back Arsenal to win. The odds of 1.39 reflect heavy home favoritism, and given Arsenal’s dominant run and Brighton’s defensive questions after their recent defeat, a straight home victory is the most sensible play for this Carabao Cup encounter.