Prediction Atalanta vs Pisa 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Serie A on 24/08/2025

Match context and immediate form

The curtain-raiser at Gewiss Stadium on 24 August pits Atalanta against Pisa in what promises to be a pulsating opening-day encounter in Serie A. Atalanta arrive under the Bergamo lights with a mixed but ultimately encouraging string of results in recent months; their form graphic reads like a team that can be ruthless on its day and vulnerable on another, but they have more wins than losses in the last ten fixtures. Their most recent outing was a narrow friendly defeat to Juventus by 2-1, a match that underlined that while the defense can be breached, the side still poses a consistent attacking threat. Isak Hien was singled out as Atalanta’s standout performer in that game, carrying the brightest rating of the night.

Pisa, by contrast, bring momentum of a different sort. Their preparation included a tense Coppa Italia win on penalties against Cesena and a morale-sapping 3-0 defeat away to Bayer Leverkusen in pre-season. The Tuscan club has been resilient in recent competitive matches, stringing together several wins and draws and showing an appetite to compete on the road. Antonio Caracciolo’s performance in the cup tie earned him plaudits and the best player rating in that match, suggesting Pisa have individuals who can step up in tight fixtures.

Tactical outlook and match-up

Playing at Gewiss Stadium gives Atalanta a tangible edge. The home side has familiarity and the backing of a packed Bergamo crowd in a compact 23,439-capacity venue. Referee Alberto Arena will be in charge, and his presence adds a layer of consistency to the officiating profile for an opening round that often sets the tone for the campaign ahead. Historically the pair met in the Coppa Italia back in 2014 when Atalanta came away with a 2-0 victory; while that result is a decade old, it is a reminder that Atalanta have had the upper hand in earlier cup collisions.

Expect Atalanta to press higher, look to control possession in middle third and create openings through quick transitions. Pisa will likely be compact, seeking to frustrate and catch Atalanta on the break or capitalize on set-piece situations. Given both clubs’ recent scoring traces — Atalanta capable of multi-goal nights, Pisa resilient and able to grind out results — the game can tilt either way early on but momentum favors the hosts.

Prediction and betting suggestion

Bookmakers have installed Atalanta as clear favourites with odds that translate to roughly a 71% chance of victory. Considering home advantage, recent form and the psychological boost of opening the season at Gewiss Stadium, the sensible play in the 1X2 market is to side with Atalanta to win. Betting suggestion: Back Atalanta to win (1) at odds 1.40.