Austria welcome Cyprus to the Raiffeisen Arena in Raisting on September 6 with real momentum and a clear group edge. The home side sit second in the group after two matches, collecting six points from two wins and posting an eye-catching goal difference — six scored and only one conceded. That attacking output was most recently underlined by a 4-0 demolition of San Marino, a performance that saw M. Arnautović named best player on the night. Austria’s profile for this fixture is that of a side confident at home: strong shot metrics, a high average of dangerous attacks and a tendency toward open, high-tempo encounters that produce goals.
Cyprus arrive as the underdogs. Their group campaign has been more mixed, with three matches played, one win and two defeats leaving them in fourth. Recent results haven’t been kind — a 2-0 reverse to Romania in June and a run of results that show inconsistency on the road. Their form line shows flashes of fight, including a draw and a couple of narrow wins, but the overall picture is of a team that struggles to impose itself against higher-quality opposition in this group. Their attacking numbers are respectable on paper, but fewer shots on target and a lower dangerous-attacks average suggest they are easier to contain against teams who press and create in volume.
The underlying numbers tilt heavily toward Austria. Home-team metrics showcase an attacks average of 132 with dangerous attacks at 61.5 — far above Cyprus’s corresponding figures — and Austria’s shots-on-target figures are strong, indicating clinical finishing when chances are created. Austria’s home matches have tended to produce goals, and early group matches have shown over/under tendencies that point to productive forward play. Cyprus, by contrast, have been leakier in defence across their group games and have recorded more losses than wins in their recent form summary. That combination of Austria’s attacking rhythm and Cyprus’s defensive vulnerabilities frames this game as one in which the hosts are expected to take control.
Final prediction and betting suggestion
On balance, the most compelling market here is the 1X2 outcome. Austria’s superior group position, robust home attacking profile, higher volume of dangerous attacks and recent convincing victories argue strongly for a home win. The form lines and match context suggest Austria should secure three points at Raiffeisen Arena. Betting suggestion: back Austria to win (1).
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