Prediction Auxerre vs Le Havre 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Ligue 1 on 26/10/2025

Match outlook

Auxerre welcome Le Havre to the Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps on 26 October in a clash that already smells of midtable anxiety and defensive frailty. Both clubs sit uncomfortably low in the table — Auxerre 14th with seven points and Le Havre 16th with six — and recent weeks have done little to calm the nerves. Auxerre arrive off a spirited 2-2 draw at Rennes where Lassine Sinayoko earned plaudits as the home side salvaged a point, while Le Havre were comprehensively beaten 6-2 by Olympique Marseille a week later in a result that exposed defensive shortcomings in brutal fashion.

There is room for optimism for the home side: the bookmaker market gives Auxerre the edge, pricing a home win around 2.12 and implying a near 47% chance of victory. At Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps Auxerre have been reasonably competitive — their home goals for and against stand level — and the crowd of just over 18,000 can be a leveller. Le Havre, however, have shown greater volatility; despite recording several draws, their away form reveals a side that leaks goals on the road, with an alarming tally of away goals conceded.

What form and stats tell us

Looking at trends, both sides have produced matches with goals. Auxerre’s recent run contains mixed results but has still seen goals flow in several fixtures; Le Havre, despite a handful of low-scoring draws, have averaged more open games and a higher over-2.5 frequency this season. The cumulative picture is of two teams whose defensive records leave them exposed — Auxerre conceding double figures across the campaign and Le Havre shipping even more — which points to an entertaining but nervy encounter.

Head-to-head history only underlines the competitive edge: their meeting earlier in the campaign finished 1-2, showing Le Havre can strike on the counter, yet recent form suggests Auxerre are the marginal favourites at home. The referee appointment and the midweek recovery time may also play into a frenetic game where concentration lapses could be costly.

Betting suggestion

Based on the available data and market pricing, the most compelling play is a goal market selection: Over 2.5 goals. Both teams have shown a propensity to concede and matches involving these sides have tended toward multiple-goal affairs, and the statistics for over-2.5 matches favour an open game. If you prefer a straight 1X2 option, the market leans towards Auxerre at 2.12, but for value and probability of entertainment, Over 2.5 goals is the recommended pick.