Prediction Avaí vs Volta Redonda 2025 – Betting Tips for the Serie B on 09/10/2025

Match context and storyline

Avaí welcome Volta Redonda to Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva on October 9 in what shapes up to be a crucial clash in the closing stages of the Serie B regular season. The home side, sitting 11th with 40 points from 30 matches, will be aiming to steady a fluctuating run of form that has produced three wins, two draws and five losses in their last ten results. Volta Redonda arrive rooted lower in the table at 17th with 31 points and a record that reflects a team struggling for consistent offensive output: just seven wins and a paltry 19 goals scored across the campaign so far.

Avaí have shown they are difficult to break down at home this season, conceding only 12 goals at Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva while finding the net 22 times on their own turf. That defensive solidity has produced ten clean sheets and an overall balance of 10 wins, 10 draws and 10 losses in the league — evidence of a side that grinds results and picks its moments. Volta Redonda, by contrast, have been more fragile at the back with 31 goals conceded and a lower goals-per-game return; their recent run includes a goalless draw with Goiás and a narrow victory over Remo, suggesting a team capable of stubborn displays but not prolific attacking nights.

Tactical nuances and recent form

The two sides met earlier this season in Serie B, ending level at 1-1, and both camps know a repeat of that kind of tight contest is possible. Avaí’s attacking metrics — more than 400 total shots across the season and a steady average of nearly 14 shots per match — hint at a team that can create chances, especially at home. Volta Redonda have compiled a higher total-shot tally overall but have struggled to convert those opportunities into goals, which speaks to a lack of cutting edge when it matters.

Recent matches underline the defensive tone likely to dominate: Avaí arrive after a narrow 1-0 reverse at CRB and a goalless-ish pattern in several fixtures, while Volta Redonda’s last outings included two 0-0 draws and a 1-0 defeat. Both teams also share the consolation of ten clean sheets apiece, pointing to matches that can often be cagey and low on goals.

Prediction and betting suggestion

Given the balance of form, home advantage and the bookmaker odds showing Avaí as clear favorites (1.67) compared with the draw (3.60) and away win (5.00), the most sensible selection in the 1X2 market is a home victory for Avaí. Their stronger defensive record at home and the tendency of Volta Redonda to produce low-scoring games make the hosts the likeliest winners in a close contest.

Best Bet: Avaí to win (1) in the 1X2 market at odds of 1.67 — this pick combines Avaí’s home resilience with Volta Redonda’s limited attacking returns and recent tendency toward draws and narrow scorelines.