Prediction Avellino vs Monza 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Serie B on 12/09/2025

Match preview: Avellino host Monza in a clash with momentum on the line

Avellino welcome Monza to the Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi on 12 September in what promises to be a compelling Serie B encounter. The hosts arrive under pressure, sitting 17th in the early table with a single point from two games and just one goal scored while conceding three. Monza, by contrast, have started the season more comfortably in sixth with four points, one win and a draw in two matches. The scene at Avellino’s compact 26,542-capacity stadium should be lively; the home side will be desperate to convert home support into points after an opening-day draw at Modena in which Dimitrios Sounas stood out with a strong performance.

Monza bring a more balanced set of numbers to the match. Their recent form shows positive signs — they edged Mantova in a 1-0 win and fought out a 1-1 draw at Bari — and their attacking metrics are noticeably superior. With 29 total shots across their fixtures compared to Avellino’s 17, and a higher tally of inside-the-box efforts and dangerous attacks, Monza look the more threatening side in transition and sustained attack. They’ve also registered a clean sheet in the early sequence, an indicator that their defensive structure can stifle opponents when required.

Tactical edge and what to expect on the day

On paper, Monza carry the tactical edge. They average more corners and dangerous attacks, and their greater volume of shots inside the box suggests they create higher quality chances. Avellino have shown resilience — a 1-1 draw away at Modena and a narrow loss earlier — but their lack of goals at home so far (goalsScoredHome: 0) is a concern when facing an opponent who can exploit space and press effectively. The only head-to-head listed dates back to 2013 when Avellino won in Coppa Italia, but the teams’ current trajectories point to Monza as the side with upward momentum.

Final thought: expect a competitive game with Monza more likely to dictate spells of the match. Avellino will lean on their home support and look to frustrate, but Monza’s greater attacking output and early-season consistency give them the upper hand.

Betting suggestion Given the available market odds and the statistical advantage for Monza in attack and possession metrics, the clean and value-driven choice for the 1X2 market is to back Away (Monza) at approximately 2.25. This pick combines Monza’s superior shot and danger-creation figures, a recent clean sheet, and their stronger start in the league.