Prediction Bahia vs Fluminense 2025 – Betting Tips for the Copa do Brasil on 27/08/2025

Match context and recent form

This quarter-final tie at Arena Fonte Nova in Salvador promises fireworks. Bahia arrive with strong domestic momentum, having won three of their last fixtures and staying unbeaten in the immediate run of results recorded here. Their recent run includes a convincing 2-0 victory over Santos on 24 August and a string of positive results across Serie A fixtures, giving them tangible confidence ahead of the cup clash. At home Bahia have produced seven goals while conceding just twice in the reported home matches, and their form line shows more wins than losses across the last ten outings.

Fluminense, meanwhile, remain a dangerous opponent despite a stinging 4-2 reverse to Bragantino on 23 August. The team has been prolific away from home this season, boasting 16 goals scored on the road in the sample provided and an above-average shots output. Their recent run includes several wins and high-scoring performances, demonstrating an aggressive approach that can punish defensive lapses. The last meeting between these sides — a 3-3 draw on 10 August in the Serie A — underlines the potential for an open, end-to-end encounter once more.

Tactical tendencies and statistical edge

Statistically the encounter leans toward an open game. Fluminense’s away numbers show a high shots average and a dangerous-attacks average that outstrips Bahia’s, suggesting they will probe and create chances in Salvador. Bahia, for their part, generate solid attacking numbers at home and have a respectable record of clean sheets, but their recent head-to-head with Fluminense produced six goals, and the underlying attacking figures point to another match where both teams are likely to find the net.

Corner averages are similar for both teams, indicating sustained offensive pressure on both ends, and over/under figures from recent fixtures show a healthy frequency of over 2.5 goal games, particularly for Fluminense. Bahia’s home form and the atmosphere at a nearly 49,000-capacity Arena Fonte Nova will be significant, but Fluminense’s ability to score away means Bahia cannot expect a defensive slog.

Betting suggestion

Given the recent 3-3 meeting, Fluminense’s potent away scoring and Bahia’s willingness to attack at home, the best market to target is the goal market. Back Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals — the data supports a high-scoring affair with both sides likely to contribute to the scoreboard.