Prediction Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Bundesliga on 26/10/2025

Match preview — BayArena set for an entertaining clash

Bayer 04 Leverkusen return to the BayArena on October 26 with the weight of expectation firmly on their shoulders. Despite a painful 2-7 defeat to Paris Saint Germain in midweek Champions League action, the hosts arrive with strong domestic credentials: four wins, two draws and one loss in seven Bundesliga rounds, 16 goals scored and a position inside the top five. The atmosphere in Leverkusen will be charged; BayArena’s capacity may be just over 30,000 but home advantage and attacking intent have defined Leverkusen’s campaign so far.

SC Freiburg head north to the Rhineland sitting midtable after seven games. Their record shows two wins, three draws and two defeats, an identical goals conceded column to Leverkusen at 11 but fewer scored overall. Freiburg come off a confidence-boosting 2-0 victory in the Europa League and have shown a stubborn tendency to share points — their recent run includes multiple draws across domestic and continental fixtures. That resilience makes them a tricky opponent, especially when they coalesce defensively away from home.

Key themes — form, firepower and market signal

The contest shapes as an intriguing clash between Leverkusen’s attacking output and Freiburg’s compact, draw-prone approach. Statistical indicators favour the hosts: Leverkusen average more total shots and far more shots on target, while their overall goal tally in the league underlines a forward line capable of breaking down stubborn backlines. Freiburg’s recent results show a team hard to beat but not prolific on the road; their away goals tally is modest and their matches often tilt toward tight scorelines.

Bookmakers have priced the match accordingly. The home win is the market favourite with a quoted 1.78, implying clear confidence in Leverkusen at BayArena. The draw and the outright away win are offered at longer prices, reflecting Freiburg’s ability to frustrate but also the perceived gulf in attacking potency between the sides.

The recent head-to-head produced a 2-2 draw in the spring, a reminder that this fixture can produce goals and late drama. Both clubs have shown matches with multiple goals this season — over 2.5 goals has appeared regularly in their recent samples — but the balance still tips to an aggressive Leverkusen approach when playing in front of their supporters.

Betting suggestion: Backing Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win on the 1X2 market is the preferred tip. The hosts carry the stronger domestic form, superior attacking numbers and the bookmaker backing at 1.78, making a home victory the most probable outcome in this matchup.