Prediction Belarus vs Greece 2026 – Betting Tips for the WC Qualification Europe on 18/11/2025

Preview: a must-win for Belarus, a chance to consolidate for Greece

Belarus welcome Greece to ZTE-Aréna in Zalaegerszeg on 18 November with a stark contrast in trajectories. The home side arrive rooted to the bottom of their group, with one point from five matches and a worrying -13 goal difference after scoring just four and conceding 17. Their recent run reads like a wake-up call: heavy defeats against Denmark and Scotland and only a single draw to show from their last set of fixtures. Greece, while far from flawless, have been far more productive in attack — ten goals in five games — and sit above Belarus in third place with six points. The last meeting between these teams in this campaign was a 5-1 rout for Greece, a result that still lingers for Belarus as a reminder of the task at hand.

Form and style: attacking tendencies point to goals

The underlying numbers favour an open game. Greece post impressive attacking metrics: higher shot volumes, dangerous attacks near double that of Belarus, and an attacking average that suggests they seek to dictate play. All of Greece’s group fixtures have gone over 2.5 goals so far, and Belarus have seen four of their five matches clear that threshold as well. Belarus have failed to score at home in their campaign stats so far, yet their recent draw against Denmark (2-2) shows they can break through against top opposition on occasion. Greece’s recent 3-2 win over Scotland demonstrates their capacity to both score and concede in the same game — a pattern that feeds the argument for a goal-heavy encounter.

Beyond pure numbers, the matchday context matters: both teams played on 15 November, with Belarus salvaging a draw against Denmark and Greece securing a morale-boosting win over Scotland. Greece’s Christos Tzolis earned the match’s best rating in their latest outing, while Fedor Lapoukhov stood out for Belarus in their draw. Expect Greece to press forward and force chances; Belarus, desperate for points, will not sit back entirely and may invite the very openings Greece need.

What to expect at ZTE-Aréna

The compact venue in Zalaegerszeg (capacity 11,200) provides an intimate atmosphere where momentum swings can be amplified. Tactically, Greece should be able to create more opportunities given their higher averages in shots on target and dangerous attacks, but their defensive record is porous enough to keep Belarus in the match if the underdogs find early rhythm. This combination — Greece’s offensive intent and Belarus’s vulnerability — points to a contest where goals are likely on both sides of the ball.

For readers looking to sharpen their betting approach, consider brushing up on timing and context when staking on goal markets; understanding when to back totals can be decisive: The right time to place bets on goal markets. And if you’re managing a run of wagers, maintaining discipline can be as valuable as the analytical edge: How to have emotional control when placing bets?

Betting suggestion: Over 2.5 goals Based on both teams’ recent fixtures, head-to-head history and attacking metrics — Greece’s consistent high-scoring games and Belarus’s matches trending over 2.5 goals — the most evidence-backed market here is the goal market. Expect a lively, end-to-end contest with multiple scoring chances; backing Over 2.5 goals is the recommended play, while staking cautiously and considering in-play opportunities if the match opens slowly.