Prediction Benfica vs Santa Clara 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Liga Portugal on 12/09/2025

Benfica look to impose at Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica return to Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica on 12/09/2025 buoyed by an emphatic run of results and an intimidating home rhythm. The hosts have not tasted defeat in the early weeks of the season, arriving into round 5 with three wins from three in the league and an overall latest run that reads overwhelmingly positive. Their recent results — wins over Tondela, Fenerbahçe in a tight match, and a come-from-behind victory at Alverca — underline a side that is both productive and resilient. At home, the numbers are telling: goals scored and a pair of clean sheets point to a team that dominates possession, creates chances in volume, and defends with relative solidity.

Benfica’s attacking figures stand out in the available data. They are generating a high volume of shots, finding the target often, and averaging a healthy number of corners and dangerous attacks. Playing in front of a near-66,647-strong capacity at their Lisboa fortress should only amplify their momentum. The H2H history from earlier in the year also favors Benfica; they claimed a 1-0 success when these sides last met, and that trend of edging Santa Clara continues to loom large.

Can Santa Clara upset the applecart?

Santa Clara arrive as underdogs but not without recent cause for optimism — a narrow win at Estoril is their freshest positive. Yet the island side’s league record is mixed: one win, one draw and two defeats in four matches, with only a single goal scored across that league sample. Their attacking output has been limited while defensive numbers show room for improvement; conceding more than they score has left them in 10th and chasing consistency.

Statistically, Santa Clara’s ability to trouble Benfica at the Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica looks constrained. Their away goal totals and shots on target are modest compared with Benfica’s home production. Even when form ebbs and flows — illustrated by a balanced latest form string — this trip demands far more than the minimal returns the visitors have shown so far.

Match outlook and key angles

The clash looks set to be controlled by the hosts: Benfica’s blend of attacking volume and clean-sheet capability suggests they will press for a result early and sustain pressure. Santa Clara may aim to be compact and counter, but the gulf in recent domestic form and the home statistical dominance tilt the contest heavily toward Benfica.

Betting suggestion: 1X2 — Benfica to win (Home). The bookmakers’ pricing mirrors the data: home value priced at 1.25 with an implied probability of around 80%. Given Benfica’s unbeaten run, superior attacking and defensive metrics at home, and Santa Clara’s scarce goal return, a straight-back Benfica win is the clearest market edge.