Match overview: Group stage decider in Tanger
The Group Stage finale at the Grand Stade de Tanger promises a tense evening as Benin and Senegal meet on 30/12/2025. Benin arrive with momentum from a narrow 1-0 victory over Botswana on 27 December but still sit third in the group with one win and one defeat. Senegal, top of the group, will be quietly confident despite a 1-1 draw with Congo DR in their most recent outing. The stadium — set to hold 45,000 — will host a game where margins are thin and qualification calculations are already in the air.
Form and statistical snapshot
Senegal’s record in the tournament so far shows an efficient attack and a compact defensive record: four goals scored and just one conceded across two matches, a reflection of an offense that creates and converts chances at a notably higher volume than Benin. The visiting side’s underlying numbers underline that superiority — nearly double the total shots and a far higher shots-on-target count, coupled with more than a hundred average attacks compared to Benin’s mid nineties. Benin’s recent lift from their win over Botswana is important psychologically, but the broader trend of Senegal’s steadier form — seven wins, two draws and a single loss in their last ten — argues for consistency over a single-result bounce.
Tactically this shapes up as a classic clash between a compact, lower-scoring Benin side that will look to defend stoutly and hit on the counter, and a Senegal team that has shown it can open teams up without being reckless. The head-to-head recent meeting ended 1-0 to Senegal in a friendly last year, adding a layer of historical edge to the visitors’ belief.
What to expect and the betting take
Bookmakers have made their stance clear: Senegal are strong favorites in the match-winner market, with prices reflecting a high probability for an away win. That aligns with on-pitch evidence — superior attacking output, better dangerous attacks figures, and the security of an unbeaten run in recent fixtures. Benin’s resilience is not to be dismissed, but the smart play here is to back the more complete side to take the three points.
For readers looking to refine their approach to markets and risk, there are useful strategic reads such as Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets and a reminder to keep emotions in check from How to have emotional control when placing bets?
Betting suggestion: Senegal to win (1X2 – Away) at 1.30. Rationale: market probability heavily favors Senegal, who lead the group, have superior attacking and chance-creation metrics, and arrive unbeaten in form. Stake responsibly in line with your bankroll management plan.
