Match context and momentum
Birmingham City welcome Charlton Athletic to St. Andrew's Stadium on 13 December with momentum narrowly favoring the hosts. The Blues sit mid-table in 11th after 20 matches and have produced a mixture of grit and goals at home — 21 of their 29 season goals have arrived on familiar turf. Recent results are mixed but encouraging: Birmingham’s last five include two wins and a draw, and they showed resilience with a 2-1 victory over Watford and a 4-1 demolition of Norwich earlier in November. Charlton arrive propping up the lower reaches in 19th, carrying a battering-ram of poor form: a run of defeats has been punctuated only recently by a couple of draws and wins, but their away record remains fragile.
Statistical pointers
Numbers underline a clear home advantage. Birmingham score heavily at St. Andrew’s and concede fewer there (8 conceded at home vs 17 away), hinting at defensive solidity on their own patch. Charlton’s scoring is modest — 19 goals in total — and they have shipped 14 on the road so far, which compounds the pressure they’ll face at a vociferous home stadium with capacity for nearly 30,000. Total shots and attacking metrics show Birmingham creating more: 272 total shots and an attack average edging close to 100 dangerous actions per game, compared to Charlton’s 217 and lower dangerous attacks average. The head-to-head history is recent and tight — the last meeting earlier in 2025 was a 1-0 Birmingham win — suggesting Charlton have struggled to unlock this opponent historically.
Both-teams-to-score and over/under trends are split. Birmingham’s matches have tipped over 2.5 goals slightly more often (55% over 2.5), while Charlton’s fixtures have been lower-scoring overall (42% over 2.5). Clean sheets are shared: Birmingham have five, Charlton six — reflecting that both can keep opponents out on their day, but the balance tilts toward the hosts when form and venue are considered.
Odds, referee and practical edge
Bookmakers make Birmingham clear favourites at 1.58 (around a 63% implied probability) with the draw at 3.90 and Charlton a long price at 5.80. Referee Andrew Kitchen will take charge, and the market narrative is consistent: home win is the likeliest outcome given recent performances, home scoring, and Charlton’s inconsistent away displays.
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Betting suggestion (final pick) Birmingham City to win (1) — 1X2 market. The home scoring power, superior home defensive record, stronger attacking numbers, recent head-to-head edge and clear bookmaker backing make the home victory the most sensible single-market stake for this fixture.