Prediction Birmingham City vs Millwall 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Championship on 04/11/2025

A midweek showdown at St. Andrew's sets the scene

Under the lights at St. Andrew's Stadium on 04/11/2025, Birmingham City welcome Millwall in what promises to be a tightly contested Championship affair. Birmingham arrive sitting 11th in the table with 18 points from 13 matches, a side capable of fireworks at home — they have scored 11 of their 15 total goals at St. Andrew’s — but their form has been patchy across the last dozen outings. Millwall, perched in fourth with 24 points, carry a stronger recent record and the confidence of five wins in their last ten, making this an intriguing clash of home comfort versus away momentum.

How the numbers and form shape the narrative

Birmingham’s recent results read like a rollercoaster: a thumping 4-0 win over Portsmouth followed by mixed outcomes against mid-table opposition. Their home profile is notable — fewer goals conceded at St. Andrew’s and a tendency to find the net at home — yet the inconsistency is clear in a season of three draws and five defeats so far. Millwall’s stats tell a different story; they have been more clinical away from home in attack, registering nine goals on their travels, and their formline shows five wins from the last ten matches. Both teams have produced goals in recent fixtures — Birmingham’s 4-0 and Millwall’s 2-2 draw at Oxford underline attacking intent — and recent head-to-head history has been narrow, with Millwall edging the meeting in March 2024.

Tactically this looks set up for an open affair. Birmingham average over five corners and generate more shots inside the box, while Millwall’s away numbers show a side comfortable creating dangerous moments on the counter. The best-player indicators from the most recent outings — Tomoki Iwata for Birmingham and Ryan Leonard for Millwall — suggest match-winners capable of influencing the final act when chances arrive.

Betting outlook and prediction

Bookmakers make Birmingham the slight favorite at 2.02, with Millwall available at 3.95 and the draw trading around 3.20. Those prices reflect St. Andrew’s influence and home scoring, but Millwall’s form, superior points return, and an impressive away goal record mean they can’t be written off. Statistically, both sides have a high probability of finding the net in this fixture: Birmingham’s home games show a healthy BTTS percentage, while Millwall’s away record features BTTS in every away match counted in the data.

For bettors interested in goal markets there’s a clear angle to consider. If you want to refine timing and approach for such bets, the guide on The right time to place bets on goal markets is a useful read, and broader context can be found in analyses like Factors to be observed when analyzing sports betting to help size stakes and assess value.

Betting suggestion: Both Teams to Score — YES. Given Birmingham’s home scoring, Millwall’s strong away attacking numbers and recent high-scoring fixtures for both sides, a BTTS play looks the most data-driven market here. Consider moderate stakes and manage exposure in line with bankroll principles.