Match context and recent form
Ewood Park will host what promises to be a tight Championship encounter on 26/11/2025 as Blackburn Rovers welcome Queens Park Rangers. The bookmakers give Blackburn the edge with a 2.15 quote and a calculated probability just under 47%, a reflection of their moments of momentum at home in recent weeks. Blackburn arrive off a morale-boosting 2-1 win at Preston on 21 November, a game in which Ryoya Morishita stood out, and that result underlines a side capable of producing big moments despite a season that has been inconsistent overall. They sit 18th in the table with 19 points from 15 matches, a position that flatters neither their recent wins nor the defensive frailties that have left them shipping 20 goals so far.
Queens Park Rangers have been erratic too, but slightly steadier in the points column. QPR’s 3-2 victory over Hull was refreshing for away confidence and showcased Ilias Chair’s capacity to influence results — he was the standout player in that match. QPR are 15th with 22 points from 16 games; their campaign is marked by an even spread of results but a worrying concession rate of 25 goals. The head-to-head earlier in the season went QPR’s way in February, a 2-1 scoreline that will not be forgotten, but form and venue now tilt the narrative back towards Blackburn.
Tactical picture and statistical clues
Statistically both teams generate chances: Blackburn average 12.4 shots per game with 58 on target across the campaign, while QPR have been busier in absolute terms with 223 shots and 64 on target. The numbers suggest QPR create more opportunities but also concede freely — a combination that breeds open games. Home trends are revealing for Blackburn: their matches frequently see both teams on the scoresheet when they play at Ewood Park, and over 2.5 goals has landed at roughly the mid-50s percentage mark for both sides. Clean sheets are modest on both sides with four apiece, so expecting a cagey defensive masterclass would be optimistic.
Blackburn’s home advantage, recent wins, and the market backing them at 2.15 make them a sensible selection in the match-winner market, yet the scoring trends point to a game where goals are likely. If you want to refine your approach and learn more about market selection, consult tactical thinking and broader advice in Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets, and refresh your understanding of probabilities via how the betting odds work in sports betting.
Betting suggestion For a single-market pick I favour Blackburn Rovers to win (1X2) at the offered price of 2.15. The home side’s recent momentum, the bookmaker probability, and QPR’s defensive inconsistencies create value backing the home victory. If you prefer a goal-focused alternative, consider Over 2.5 goals as a secondary option given both teams’ tendency to be involved in open, goal-filled matches.