Prediction Bohemians vs St Patrick's 2025 – Betting Tips for the Premier Division on 20/10/2025

Match outlook: tense Dublin derby at Dalymount Park

Round 33 of the 2025 Premier Division brings a classic Dublin showdown as Bohemians host St Patrick's at Dalymount Park on 20/10/2025. With referee Paul McLaughlin appointed and a modest capacity of 4,443 at stake, this feels like one of those fixtures that will be decided in the fine margins. Bohemians sit fourth with 50 points from 33 games and have been uneven down the run-in; St Patrick's are a whisker behind in sixth on 49 points but arrive with far cleaner recent form.

Bohemians have shown flashes of attacking intent across the season — 42 goals in total, 25 of those at home — and their attacking metrics (523 total shots, 172 on target) underline a side that can create chances. Yet consistency has been an issue. Their last outing ended in a 2-0 defeat at Galway United and the wider form line reads patchy: two wins, three draws and five losses in the latest ten-match sample. That instability is mirrored in home defensive numbers too: 15 goals conceded at Dalymount suggests vulnerabilities against clinical opponents.

St Patrick's arrive with momentum and defensive discipline

St Patrick's have been the steadier of the two in recent weeks. Their last result was a tidy 1-0 win over Shamrock Rovers, and their last ten results show six wins, two draws and only two losses. The team’s overall profile is balanced — 41 goals for and 31 conceded, with a notable 16 clean sheets across the campaign. St Patrick's away scoring sits at 14 goals, a sign they are not wildly prolific on the road but can grind out results; only 19 away goals conceded shows the defensive backbone that has produced those clean sheets.

The head-to-head so far this season was a goalless stalemate in July, a reminder that these meetings can be cagey and low-scoring. Both sides generate a comparable number of attacks and dangerous situations per game, but St Patrick's edge on recent form and their superior clean sheet tally suggests they will be harder to break down.

Prediction and game script

Expect a competitive, tight encounter rather than an open goal-fest. Bohemians will press to leverage home support and their higher shots volume, but St Patrick's defensive organization and current confidence make them a tough nut, especially given Bohemians’ recent defensive lapses. The most likely script is a low-scoring affair, possibly decided by a single moment — a set-piece, a counter or a lapse in concentration. Keep an eye on the influence of recent standout performers: Dayle Rooney produced a strong showing in Bohemians’ previous match despite the loss, while Simon Power’s 7.8 rating last time out highlights the quality St Patrick’s can call upon to make the difference.

Betting suggestion: Goal market — Under 2.5 goals. The combination of St Patrick's clean-sheet form (16), Bohemians' inconsistency and the 0-0 H2H earlier in the season points to a low-scoring contest.