Match preview: Bologna welcome Salzburg to Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna host Salzburg on 27 November 2025 in a Europa League Group Stage clash that has more than just pride on the line. The Italian side arrive on the back of convincing domestic form, most recently dismantling Udinese 3-0, and they sit ahead of Salzburg in the group standings with five points to Salzburg’s three. The fixture at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara — capacity 36,532 — looks set to favour the home side, with bookmakers responding accordingly: Bologna are overwhelming favourites at 1.37, while Salzburg are long shots at 8.60 and the draw is priced 4.60.
Form and recent performances
Bologna’s recent run is impressive on paper. Across their last competitive fixtures they have collected wins over Udinese (0-3), Napoli (2-0) and Parma (1-3), with two draws mixed in. The form string supplied shows six wins and four draws in the latest set, and their Group Stage ledger stands at one win, two draws and one loss, giving them five points. Their attacking output in Europe is modest — three goals scored and three conceded so far — but their domestic momentum and a clean sheet recorded in recent matches underline their current stability. Tommaso Pobega finished as Bologna’s best performer against Udinese, earning a top rating of 8.74.
Salzburg arrive bruised from a 2-3 home defeat to WSG Tirol, having earlier enjoyed a 4-1 league victory and mixed cup form. Their Europa League numbers are less flattering: one win and three defeats, with four goals scored and six conceded in the group. The Austrian side’s recent pattern shows variability — five wins, two draws and three losses in the last ten — and they have struggled to translate attacking chances into consistent continental results.
What the numbers tell us
Team statistics paint a picture of two sides that create chances but in different ways. Bologna average 15.5 shots and 6.5 corners in their home outings and their attacking metrics (97.5 average attacks, 50.5 dangerous attacks) suggest sustained offensive intent. Salzburg register slightly fewer shots per match but a higher overall attacks average (106.25) — they probe frequently but have conceded more in this European campaign. Neither side shows a prolific over/under profile in the group: over 2.5 goals has occurred in just 25% of their matches, hinting that tight margins could decide this clash.
Bookmakers have made their call, and the market reflects Bologna’s recent consistency and home advantage. The odds compress the value toward the home win, but the statistical backdrop supports that lean: a confident Bologna unit at home versus a Salzburg team that has leaked goals and lost momentum after their recent domestic defeat.
Before placing a wager consider timing and market strategy; resources like The right time to place bets on goal markets can sharpen how you approach goals lines, while methods to control stake and emotion are covered in How to have emotional control when placing bets?
Betting suggestion On the balance of form, group context and market pricing, the clearest play from the available markets is the 1X2: back Bologna to win. The odds of 1.37 reflect strong probability but also align with the data — home comfort, recent dominant results and a favorable group position. Consider a disciplined stake given the compressed price; this is a value-backed home selection rather than a high-return punt.