Borussia Mönchengladbach return to Stadion im Borussia-Park under pressure, sitting 17th after a tough start to the 2025/2026 Bundesliga campaign. Four league games have yielded just two draws and two defeats, and the numbers underline a side struggling for goals — just one scored and six conceded in the league so far. Their most recent trip saw them salvage a 1-1 draw at Bayer Leverkusen, where goalkeeper Moritz Nicolas earned the best player rating for Gladbach, but the underlying form remains concerning for the home fans. Mönchengladbach have shown moments in attack — an aggregate of 64 shots across their league fixtures — yet those efforts have not translated to consistent returns on the scoreboard.
Eintracht Frankfurt arrive in Mönchengladbach in a markedly different mood. Sixth in the table, Frankfurt have been entertaining and volatile in equal measure: four matches, two wins, two defeats, and an eye-catching 11 goals scored. Their away performances have been punchy and attack-minded, reflected in their impressive recent 5-1 victory over Galatasaray and a 3-4 shootout with Union Berlin where Can Uzun was highlighted as Frankfurt’s best performer. Frankfurt’s matches are producing goals — their data shows a full 100% of fixtures so far have exceeded 2.5 goals — and their offensive numbers (59 total shots, 23 on target across matches) suggest they will test Gladbach’s defense repeatedly.
Expect an open contest. Gladbach’s metrics point to an active attacking footprint at home — more shots on average and a higher corner count — but they have been fragile defensively, with four goals conceded at home and only a single clean sheet recorded. Eintracht, by contrast, pose the more consistent offensive threat; their dangerous attacks average slightly higher than Gladbach’s, and they have proven able to break down opponents with frequency. The head-to-head history is recent and competitive — the sides drew 1-1 in February — but current season form and scoring trends tilt the balance.
Referee Soren Storks will take charge in front of a vocal Mönchengladbach crowd at the stadium capacity of 54,057, a setting that could amplify the home side’s urgency but may not be enough to blunt Frankfurt’s forward momentum.
Given the contrast in goal production and recent momentum, the clearest market to target is the 1X2. Eintracht Frankfurt head into this fixture as the bookmakers’ favorite, and the numbers justify backing the away win: Frankfurt are the more dangerous, higher-scoring team (11 goals in four), while Gladbach are yet to find consistency in front of goal. Backing Eintracht Frankfurt to win at the odds of 2.20 combines the statistical edge in attacking potency with the implied probability offered by the market — a confident, data-driven pick for this weekend’s Bundesliga clash.
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