Prediction Boulogne vs Red Star 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Ligue 2 on 29/09/2025

Game overview

Boulogne returns to the Stade de la Libération on Monday night sitting uncomfortably low in the table and searching for consistency. The 29/09/2025 clash with Red Star is a classic contrast of form and momentum in this early phase of the 2025/2026 Ligue 2 campaign. Boulogne, 16th with six points from seven matches, have struggled to find the net consistently — five goals so far — and have conceded nine. Red Star, positioned fifth with 13 points, arrive with far healthier numbers: 12 goals scored and seven conceded across the same number of games. The fixture carries extra intrigue given the recent history; the last recorded meeting in 2022 saw Red Star leave Boulogne with a 4-0 win, a result that still hangs in the memory and hints at an away side comfortable imposing itself when visiting this ground.

Recent form and tactical clues

Boulogne’s week-to-week performances have been mercurial. Their most recent result was an impressive 3-1 win away at Montpellier, a result that showcased what this side can do on its day. That victory, led by a standout performance from Amine El Farissi, will certainly lift confidence, but a broader look at their campaign reveals five defeats and only two wins. Boulogne’s home record is particularly concerning: they have scored just two at home while conceding six, and their attacking averages — roughly 11.4 shots per game and around 3.6 corners — suggest sporadic pressure rather than sustained dominance.

Red Star arrive with momentum and a more balanced statistical profile. They have converted more of their opportunities, averaging about 13.7 shots per match with 35 efforts on target overall and an impressive count of four clean sheets already this term. Moreover, their away numbers are eye-catching: nine goals scored on the road coupled with only one conceded away — a sign of an efficient, compact unit when travelling. Recent results include a narrow defeat to Troyes but sandwiched among a run that featured several multi-goal wins, which underlines Red Star’s capability to both score and protect leads.

Prediction and betting tip

On balance the metrics favour the visitors. Red Star’s attacking firepower on the road and superior defensive record away from home make them the more dependable pick against a Boulogne side that concedes too freely at Stade de la Libération and has been inconsistent across seven rounds. The bookmakers reflect that edge with Red Star priced at 2.25 while the draw and home win are longer odds.

Betting suggestion: Back Away (Red Star) in the 1X2 market at odds of 2.25. This selection leans on Red Star’s superior away goal return, their four clean sheets this season, and Boulogne’s troubling home goal differential.