Boyacá Chicó welcome Deportivo Cali to Tunja's Estadio de La Independencia on August 25 with both teams carrying a patchy run of results through the Clausura. Boyacá Chicó sit down the table in 17th after six matches, scraping together a single win and two draws for five points; their recent domestic action has delivered more defeats than victories, including a 2-0 reversal to Rionegro Águilas in their most recent outing. That night Jhonny Jordán was the standout in a losing side, but overall Chicó have struggled for consistency and to keep their goal tally ticking up in the standings.
Deportivo Cali arrive in slightly better shape, occupying 10th with nine points from seven games. They head into Tunja buoyed by a 3-1 win over Unión Magdalena, a result that followed an entertaining 3-3 draw with Millonarios and a 3-2 victory at Bucaramanga earlier in the sequence. Luis Orejuela earned man-of-the-match plaudits in the latest win, and while Cali’s away results have been uneven — notably a 0-3 reverse to Llaneros — their attacking numbers show they can produce goals in bursts.
The raw team metrics paint an even fight. Both sides generate similar shot volumes and average attacks, with Deportivo Cali showing a marginal edge in clean sheets and wins across the campaign. Head-to-head memory is fresh: the pair met in June in the Copa Colombia where Boyacá Chicó registered a 1-0 victory, a reminder that formlines can flip in short order.
On the goals front, neither team looks overwhelmingly prolific or catastrophically leaky. Over/under indicators tilt towards cautious optimism for low-to-medium scoring: Chicó’s over-2.5 percentage sits below 40% while Cali’s is nearer to the mid-20s. Both teams have seen matches with both sides scoring, but the distribution suggests a balance between tidy defensive displays and the occasional open, high-scoring contest.
This promises to be a tight, competitive fixture where home advantage and Tunja’s altitude may factor for Boyacá Chicó. However, taking table position, recent form and attacking output together, Deportivo Cali hold the marginal advantage. They arrive with fresher attacking momentum and a squad that has found the net in several recent games, while Chicó have been unable to string results together consistently.
Expect a hard-fought 1-1 or a narrow 1-2 outcome rather than a goal-fest. The referee, Luis Didier Gracia Benitez, will oversee what should be a fairly combative contest on a pitch that has hosted tight matches this season.
Best bet (1X2): Back Deportivo Cali to win. The away side’s slightly superior recent form, greater points tally and recent attacking returns make them the value pick for this close fixture; odds around 2.70 represent fair value for a narrow away victory.
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