Prediction Brighton & Hove Albion vs Leeds United 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Premier League on 01/11/2025

Match context and form

Brighton & Hove Albion welcome Leeds United to the Amex Stadium on 1 November in what looks set to be a physical, open Premier League encounter. Brighton arrive off the back of a Carabao Cup exit to Arsenal, a 2-0 defeat that followed a mixed league run. Their league form across nine matches reads as 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 14 goals scored and 15 conceded — figures that point to an attack capable of producing moments but a defence that has been breached too often. At home Brighton have netted seven and conceded five; their home profile shows attacking intent but a lack of clean sheets so far.

Leeds arrive in flatter domestic form and sit lower in the table with 11 points from nine outings. They have three wins, two draws and four losses, and their away numbers raise a red flag: just three goals scored on the road and nine conceded, implying trouble breaking teams down and a vulnerability when forced to chase games. Their most recent boost came from a solid 2-1 victory over West Ham, with Brenden Aaronson standing out in that win, but inconsistency remains a problem.

Tactical expectation and key indicators

This clash is likely to pivot on Brighton’s home edge and Leeds’ fragility away from Elland Road. Brighton averages higher attacking metrics — around 84.8 attacks per match and 49 dangerous attacks on average — compared with Leeds’ slightly lower attacking output. Both sides have been involved in games with goals: Brighton show a 66.7% rate of over 2.5 goals in their fixtures, while Leeds have experienced over 2.5 in 55.6% of matches. Head-to-head history includes a 2-2 draw in 2023, hinting that this fixture can open up and produce goals.

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Betting suggestion

Given Brighton’s home advantage, better attacking metrics and Leeds’ poor away scoring record — paired with bookmakers pricing Brighton at 1.88 (about a 53% implied chance) — the most data-backed single-market play is a home win for Brighton & Hove Albion on the 1X2 market. Stakes should reflect your bankroll and risk appetite, but the combination of form, venue and odds makes the home victory the clearest value selection from the available markets.