Prediction Buriram United vs Shanghai Port 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the AFC Champions League Elite on 04/11/2025

Match Overview

Buriram United welcome Shanghai Port to the Chang Arena on 04/11/2025 in a match that carries more than local pride — it’s a crucial Group stage clash in the AFC Champions League Elite East. Buriram arrive buoyed by a strong domestic rhythm, fresh from a 2-1 league win on 01/11/2025 and an eye-catching 12-0 victory a few days earlier. They sit 11th in the group standings with three points from three matches, having scored three and conceded six. Shanghai Port, by contrast, occupy 12th with just one point; their AFC campaign has been rocky but they come into Thailand after a 3-0 league win on 31/10/2025 which could carry momentum.

The setting is familiar and loud — Chang Arena in Buriram, capacity 32,600 — where home advantage is real. The last recorded H2H in continental competition (from 2020) shows Shanghai Port beating Buriram 3-0, a reminder that past continental meetings have had decisive outcomes, though five years and many squad changes separate those teams from the present data.

Team Form and Key Statistics

Formline paints Buriram as the more consistent unit lately: their ten-match summary shows seven wins, one draw and two losses. Recent results in the dataset include a tight 2-1 win over Nakhonratchasima and a narrow loss away to Melbourne City in October. Buriram’s attacking numbers are solid at home — three matches produced over 2.5 goals in all (over25Perc 100) and they average 7.67 shots per match with ten on target across those fixtures. They have conceded five away goals in the group so far, however, and clean sheets are absent.

Shanghai Port’s recent sequence is mixed: five wins, one draw and four losses in the latest ten outings, but their continental form has yielded only one point. Their attacking output in the competition is limited — one goal scored across three group games — though domestic form includes a 3-0 victory right before this trip. Shanghai average slightly fewer shots overall (6.67) and fewer on target, but their dangerous attacks figure is comparable to Buriram’s, suggesting they can carve opportunities.

What the Numbers Suggest

Bookmakers strongly favour Buriram United at home: the market prices list the home win at 1.61 (implied probability ~62%), the draw at 4.00 and an away win at 4.55. That pricing reflects Buriram’s better recent results, the home setting, and Shanghai’s struggles in this particular group. The trends in goal data — Buriram’s matches producing over 2.5 goals recently — point to a contest that could be open, but Shanghai’s low goal tally in the group tempers expectations for a high-scoring shock.

Final Betting Suggestion

For the 1X2 market the clearest value lies with backing Buriram United to win. The home side’s recent winning form, strong attacking spikes at home, and the market’s endorsement make the home win the preferred option. If you prefer a goals-based angle, the data leans mildly toward over 2.5 in Buriram games this campaign, but that line carries more variance given Shanghai’s limited scoring in the AFC group.

Consider pairing this selection with a reading on broader market strategy — for example, check practical approaches in Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets and the timing for goal plays in The right time to place bets on goal markets to refine stake and timing. Suggested bet: 1X2 — Buriram United to win (home) at odds around 1.61. Stake responsibly and keep it proportionate to your bankroll.