Prediction Burnley vs Sunderland 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Premier League on 23/08/2025

Match context and form guide

Burnley return to Turf Moor on August 23 with a point to prove after a chastening 3-0 defeat at the hands of Tottenham last weekend. That result leaves Burnley 18th in the early table but masks a broader run of positive results in the build-up: the club’s recent report shows a sequence peppered with wins and only a solitary reverse in a longer string of matches. Home data suggests a team that generates chances — an average of 75 attacks and five corners per game — but the visit from Tottenham highlighted some defensive vulnerabilities that Sunderland will be keen to exploit.

Sunderland arrive in Lancashire on the back of a statement victory themselves, thumping West Ham 3-0 to begin their Premier League campaign. That scoreline underlined Sunderland's ability to be clinical when opportunities arise; their recent stats show nine shots inside the box in their last match window and a clean sheet on the road. Yet their form across the last ten results reads as inconsistent, with three wins mixed in with a worrying number of losses. On paper, Sunderland have pizazz on the break but can be fragile over sustained periods.

Tactical battle and key match facts

This encounter promises to be a clash of compact, organized defending against industrious, home-driven pressure. Turf Moor’s capacity and atmosphere typically favour a disciplined Burnley side that presses, creates set-piece chances and forces opponents into errors. Sunderland, buoyed by confidence after their opening weekend triumph and a standout best-player rating for Daniel Ballard last time out, will look to counter quickly and punish any sloppy clearance or turned possession.

Head-to-head history offers little to go on — the most recent meeting ended in a 0-0 draw in the Championship earlier this year — but both teams have shown they can produce decisive results when in form. Referee Michael Salisbury will take charge of the fixture, and in a game that could hinge on momentum swings, set-pieces and tight margins, the first goal may be decisive.

Betting suggestion

Given the odds and the balance of form and home advantage, the clearest value sits in the 1X2 market. Burnley are priced as favorites at 2.25, and their superior recent run, coupled with Turf Moor’s familiar surroundings and attack numbers, make a home win the most probable outcome on paper. Select Burnley to win (1) as the primary betting suggestion, with a cautious stake recommended given Sunderland’s capacity to strike on the counter.