
Cameroon returns to Stade Omnisport Ahmadou Ahidjo with the aura of a side that has largely bossed its group and turned home fixtures into a fortress. The Lions Indomptables sit second in the group with an impressive return of five wins, three draws and a solitary defeat from nine matches, producing 17 goals while conceding only five. Their recent rhythm is solid: six wins in their last ten outings and a pair of clean sheets in the most recent matches underlines a team that combines punchy attacking output with defensive resilience when playing in front of home fans.
Angola arrive in Yaoundé sitting fourth in the same group with a string of draws and tight results that have kept them within touching distance but short of dominance. Their record across nine matches reads two wins, five draws and two defeats, with a modest nine goals scored and eight conceded. Across recent fixtures they’ve shown teeth—a 3-1 home win against Mauritius and a gutsy 2-2 draw in the last outing—but their away numbers suggest vulnerability; Angola have only three away goals this campaign and their defensive ledger on the road reads similarly conservative.
Home advantage looms large for Cameroon. At home they’ve netted 13 of their 17 goals and conceded just twice, a sign that they are both prolific and compact inside their own stadium. Their attacking intent is backed up by volume—120 total shots and 42 on target across the campaign—while maintaining composure at the back to produce multiple clean sheets. Angola’s profile is that of a pragmatic side: fewer chances, fewer goals, but stubborn enough to grind out results. Their shot and attack averages lag those of Cameroon, and while they can be dangerous on the counter, they have not translated that into consistent scoring on the road.
The only recent head-to-head reference in the data is a 1-1 draw in mid-2024, a reminder that Angola can find a way to score against Cameroon. Yet the context this time favors the hosts: Cameroon’s superior goal difference, better home form and recent victory in their latest match suggest momentum heading into this clash.
Given the home dominance displayed by Cameroon—double-digit home goals, a tight defensive record and strong recent form—paired with Angola’s modest away returns and tendency toward draws rather than wins, the clearest market to target is the 1X2. Back Cameroon to win. This pick aligns with the statistical edge Campbell’s home firepower and solidity at Stade Omnisport Ahmadou Ahidjo give them over an Angolan side that has struggled to convert away opportunities into victories.
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