Prediction Celta de Vigo vs Nice 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Europa League on 23/10/2025

Europa League Heat at Balaídos: Context and Stakes

The third round of the Europa League League Stage drops into Vigo on 23 October, and Estadio de Balaídos will host a clash that looks both competitive and intriguing on paper. Celta de Vigo arrive with a slender advantage in the group standings after collecting three points from two matches, while Nice sit rooted to the foot of the table with nothing yet to show. The balance of recent domestic form, continental statistics and bookmaker pricing paints a picture of an encounter that could tilt toward open, high-drama football rather than a tight tactical stalemate.

Recent Form and Momentum

Celta’s slate in recent weeks has been defined by draws and a single win — a pattern that suggests a side difficult to beat but occasionally short of killer finishing. Their domestic draw with Real Sociedad on 19 October continued a sequence that features more shared points than emphatic victories, but their Europa League form includes a convincing 3-1 win over PAOK that underscores an ability to score in European competition. Nice, on the other hand, arrive off the back of a morale-boosting 3-2 victory over Olympique Lyonnais on 18 October, a result that demonstrates attacking intent and a willingness to engage in end-to-end football despite inconsistent domestic outcomes earlier in the campaign.

Statistically, Celta edge the visitors in attacking volume — averaging 11.5 total shots with 10 on target in the data on hand — which contrasts with Nice’s more conservative averages of eight shots and five on target. Celta’s numbers point to a team able to create danger regularly at home; Nice’s recent scoring run shows they are no strangers to hitting the net, even away from home.

Tactical Implications and Match Flow

The metrics suggest a contest likely to favor open play. Both sides show a 100% over-2.5 record in their continental sample (over25Perc 100), and both have a 50% rate for both teams to score, indicating previous matches that produced goals at both ends. Celta’s higher shots inside the box and greater overall attacking actions contrast with Nice’s dangerous attacks average, hinting that while Celta might dominate possession and chances, Nice are capable of punishing spaces and converting opportunities on the counter or in transition — as their 3-2 win over Lyonnais illustrates.

Home advantage also matters here: bookmakers give Celta the edge with a Home price of 1.92 and an implied probability just over 52%, a figure that reflects respect for their offensive output at Balaídos and their better start in Group play.

Betting Suggestion

Given the statistical trend toward goal-filled matches in both teams’ European outings, combined with Celta’s higher shot volume and Nice’s recent willingness to trade blows, the best market to target here is the goal market. Backing Over 2.5 goals is the recommended option: the historical over-2.5 data for both teams, recent high-scoring results for Nice and Celta’s attacking metrics all point toward a contest with multiple goals rather than a low-scoring draw.