Prediction Cesena vs Pisa 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Coppa Italia on 17/08/2025

Match context and form guide

The Coppa Italia curtain-raiser at Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi on 17/08/2025 brings Cesena and Pisa into a competitive preliminary-round clash that promises a feisty encounter. Cesena return to home turf with mixed recent results, a rollercoaster ten-match sequence that reads as a patchwork of resilience and inconsistency. Their recent slate shows important wins sandwiched between stumbles, and that pattern leaves question marks over their ability to sustain pressure for the full 90 minutes against a team travelling with momentum. Pisa, by contrast, arrive with a clearer upward swing in results; their latest sequence contains more victories than defeats, suggesting sharper match temperament and the confidence that comes with momentum.

Head-to-head and recent meetings

The recent meeting between these sides in Serie B produced a 1-1 draw earlier in 2025, a balanced contest in which neither team could gain the upper hand. That parity is relevant heading into the cup, but seasonal rhythms have favored Pisa in the immediate run-in. Cesena’s end-of-season results included narrow victories and a painful 3-0 reverse, while Pisa’s pre-season and late campaign results display a mixture of productive attacking displays and a heavy friendly defeat to Bayer Leverkusen. Those outliers aside, Pisa’s domestic form shows more consistency, which often matters in a knockout setting where momentum and confidence are crucial.

Venue, officials and match dynamics

Playing at Cesena’s Orogel Stadium gives the hosts familiarity, yet the capacity and atmosphere alone may not offset Pisa’s stronger run of form. The appointment of referee Davide Di Marco adds a variable that both sides will respect, but the key determinants here will be tactical discipline and the ability to convert half-chances. Previous match reports show low-scoring tight affairs between these sides, and the Coppa Italia’s early rounds often produce cautious, structure-focused football as clubs guard against unnecessary risks.

Betting suggestion: 1X2 market — back Pisa to win. The market odds show Pisa as the slight favourite (2.40, implied probability 41.67%) over Cesena (3.00, 33.33%) and the draw (3.20, 31.25%). Considering Pisa’s superior recent form across their last ten matches compared with Cesena’s inconsistent run, plus the head-to-head draw that suggests this is a contest Pisa can decisively tilt in their favour, the 1X2 choice for an away win represents the most compelling single-market play from the available data.