Prediction CF Montréal vs New York RB 2025 – Betting Tips for Major League Soccer on 20/09/2025

Season context and what’s at stake in Montreal

This late-September showdown at Stade Saputo feels like a crossroads for two clubs with contrasting trajectories. CF Montréal sit deep in the table at 15th with just 24 points from 30 matches, a record marked more by defensive fragility than attacking firepower: 29 goals scored all season against a worrying 53 conceded. Home form has been especially troubling — only 13 goals scored at Stade Saputo while shipping a staggering 30 at home — which has turned what should be an advantage into a pressure cooker. Their last outing, a 0-2 defeat to St. Louis City, underscored those defensive vulnerabilities and left Iván Jaime as the standout performer on the other side of the contest.

New York RB arrive with mixed form but sturdier structure

New York RB, positioned 10th with 40 points, are the steadier outfit on paper. Their overall scoring (43 goals) outstrips Montréal’s, and while their away returns are modest — just 9 goals on the road — they compensate with defensive discipline: nine clean sheets on the campaign compared to Montréal’s four. Recent results have been inconsistent, and a 1-2 reversal at Portland was a fresh reminder of cracks that still appear on the road. Éder’s performance in that game was a feature, but the bigger picture is a side that can grind out results and defend stoutly when required.

Numbers that matter

The underlying metrics paint a clash that could be cagey. Total shot counts and attacking tempo are fairly even — Montréal average 74.4 attacks and 30.4 dangerous attacks per match; New York average a touch higher on attacks at 79.7 but a similar dangerous-attack figure. Both teams produce around 11 shots a game, with New York marginally ahead in accumulated chances. BTTS sits close to 50% for Montréal fixtures and mid-40s for New York away matches, while over 2.5 goals has hovered just under the 50% mark for both sides — suggesting neither a goal glut nor a shutout certainty.

Recent head-to-head and momentum

When these teams met in April, New York RB edged Montréal 1-0 — a narrow, structure-driven win that hinted at how this matchup could unfold again. Montréal’s recent sequence includes draws and a couple of highs and lows, while New York’s patchy away form has seen them oscillate between tight defensive displays and lapses that cost points.

Prediction and betting suggestion

All things considered — Montreal’s alarming home defensive record, New York’s superior overall balance and greater number of clean sheets, plus the bookies’ alignment — the most sensible lean is a 1X2 pick for an away win: New York RB to win (odds ~2.30). It’s a pick grounded in New York’s ability to keep the game under control and exploit Montréal’s backline weaknesses, even if goals may be at a premium. Stake with caution given New York’s modest away scoring; a conservative stake is recommended.